Julian Marquez vs. Marc-Andre Barriault - UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Marc-Andre Barriault by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 627.00m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Julian Marquez
15
+123
Marc-Andre Barriault
22
20.0
-145

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Julian Marquez Marc-Andre Barriault
Main Stats
Age 32 33
Height 74" 73"
Reach 72" 74"
Win Percentage 75.00% 70.00%
Wins 9 15
Losses 4 6
Wins at Weight Class 3 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 6
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 45.31% 50.59%
Significant Striking Accuracy 42.83% 46.67%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.684 6.431
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.093 5.346
Knockdowns per Fight 0.317 0.302
Striking Impact Differential -3.80% 0.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.20% 5.67%
Striking Output Differential 8.00% 3.44%
Significant Striking Output Differential 12.80% 9.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 94.14% 93.28%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 101.03% 108.08%
Striking Defense Percentage 50.39% 54.45%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 3.165 0.151
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.302
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.582 1.206
Takedown Defense 130.00% 62.50%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 25.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.122 3.919
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.186 9.596
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.975 2.984
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.781 0.804
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.097 1.105
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.760 1.397
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.190 0.623
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.274 0.754
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.338 0.452
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.802 1.347
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.118 1.809
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.612 1.045
Julian Marquez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 18, 2022 Middleweight Julian Marquez Gregory Rodrigues Gregory Rodrigues
April 10, 2021 Middleweight Sam Alvey Julian Marquez Julian Marquez
Feb. 13, 2021 Middleweight Maki Pitolo Julian Marquez Julian Marquez
July 6, 2018 Middleweight Alessio Di Chirico Julian Marquez Alessio Di Chirico
Dec. 16, 2017 Middleweight Julian Marquez Darren Stewart Julian Marquez
Marc-Andre Barriault History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 17, 2022 Middleweight Anthony Hernandez Marc-Andre Barriault Anthony Hernandez
April 23, 2022 Catch Weight Jordan Wright Marc-Andre Barriault Marc-Andre Barriault
Feb. 5, 2022 Middleweight Chidi Njokuani Marc-Andre Barriault Chidi Njokuani
Sept. 4, 2021 Middleweight Dalcha Lungiambula Marc-Andre Barriault Marc-Andre Barriault
March 27, 2021 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Abu Azaitar Marc-Andre Barriault
June 20, 2020 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Oskar Piechota None
Dec. 21, 2019 Middleweight JunYong Park Marc-Andre Barriault JunYong Park
July 27, 2019 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Krzysztof Jotko Krzysztof Jotko
May 4, 2019 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Andrew Sanchez Andrew Sanchez