The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Jon Jones | Ciryl Gane | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 32 | 36 | |
| Height | 76" | 76" | 76" | |
| Reach | 84" | 81" | 82" | |
| Win Percentage | 96.30% | 91.67% | 90.41% | |
| Wins | 27 | 11 | ||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 62.61% | 61.83% | 56.03% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 57.92% | 59.66% | 51.26% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.393 | 5.603 | 5.121 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.300 | 5.107 | 4.075 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.220 | 0.310 | 0.721 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 41.77% | 49.00% | 27.01% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 32.18% | 46.11% | 23.39% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 28.50% | 42.56% | 26.48% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 18.23% | 40.67% | 22.75% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 75.64% | 68.88% | 68.71% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 93.64% | 74.22% | 81.31% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 64.47% | 62.79% | 56.41% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.441 | 0.517 | 0.349 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.852 | 0.620 | 0.884 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.188 | 2.895 | 2.809 | |
| Takedown Defense | 5.26% | 80.00% | 50.90% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 44.21% | 21.43% | 25.75% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.019 | 2.261 | 2.341 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.406 | 5.031 | 5.590 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.058 | 0.875 | 1.289 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.055 | 1.358 | 0.835 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.396 | 1.806 | 1.102 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.611 | 0.476 | 0.464 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.226 | 1.489 | 0.900 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.622 | 1.723 | 1.068 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.550 | 0.896 | 0.696 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.729 | 0.420 | 0.501 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.008 | 0.489 | 0.660 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.441 | 0.103 | 0.204 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 8, 2020 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones | |
| July 6, 2019 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Thiago Santos | Jon Jones | |
| March 2, 2019 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Anthony Smith | Jon Jones | |
| Dec. 29, 2018 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Alexander Gustafsson | Jon Jones | |
| July 29, 2017 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones | None | |
| April 23, 2016 | UFC Interim Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Ovince Saint Preux | Jon Jones | |
| Jan. 3, 2015 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones | |
| April 26, 2014 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Glover Teixeira | Jon Jones | |
| Sept. 21, 2013 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Alexander Gustafsson | Jon Jones | |
| April 27, 2013 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Chael Sonnen | Jon Jones | |
| Sept. 22, 2012 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Vitor Belfort | Jon Jones | |
| April 21, 2012 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Rashad Evans | Jon Jones | |
| Dec. 10, 2011 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Lyoto Machida | Jon Jones | |
| Sept. 24, 2011 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Quinton Jackson | Jon Jones | |
| March 19, 2011 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Mauricio Rua | Jon Jones | Jon Jones | |
| Feb. 5, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Jon Jones | Ryan Bader | Jon Jones | |
| Aug. 1, 2010 | Light Heavyweight | Jon Jones | Vladimir Matyushenko | Jon Jones | |
| March 21, 2010 | Light Heavyweight | Brandon Vera | Jon Jones | Jon Jones | |
| Dec. 5, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Matt Hamill | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill | |
| July 11, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Jon Jones | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones | |
| Jan. 31, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar | Jon Jones | |
| Aug. 9, 2008 | Light Heavyweight | Jon Jones | Andre Gusmao | Jon Jones |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 3, 2022 | Heavyweight | Ciryl Gane | Tai Tuivasa | Ciryl Gane | |
| Jan. 22, 2022 | UFC Heavyweight Title | Francis Ngannou | Ciryl Gane | Francis Ngannou | |
| Aug. 7, 2021 | UFC Interim Heavyweight Title | Derrick Lewis | Ciryl Gane | Ciryl Gane | |
| June 26, 2021 | Heavyweight | Ciryl Gane | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane | |
| Feb. 27, 2021 | Heavyweight | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Ciryl Gane | Ciryl Gane | |
| Dec. 12, 2020 | Heavyweight | Junior Dos Santos | Ciryl Gane | Ciryl Gane | |
| Dec. 21, 2019 | Heavyweight | Ciryl Gane | Tanner Boser | Ciryl Gane | |
| Oct. 26, 2019 | Heavyweight | Ciryl Gane | Don'Tale Mayes | Ciryl Gane | |
| Aug. 10, 2019 | Heavyweight | Ciryl Gane | Raphael Pessoa | Ciryl Gane |