Cody Garbrandt vs. Trevin Jones - UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Cody Garbrandt by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 627.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Cody Garbrandt
25
14
14.3
-185
Trevin Jones
+140

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Cody Garbrandt Trevin Jones
Main Stats
Age 31 32
Height 68" 67"
Reach 65" 70"
Win Percentage 70.59% 59.09%
Wins 13 13
Losses 5 10
Wins at Weight Class 5 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 40.26% 47.56%
Significant Striking Accuracy 38.71% 38.73%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.385 3.727
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.156 2.334
Knockdowns per Fight 1.273 0.523
Striking Impact Differential -11.17% -45.20%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -10.42% -30.20%
Striking Output Differential -25.67% -41.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -24.83% -27.40%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 191.98% 100.47%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 204.84% 147.76%
Striking Defense Percentage 60.52% 40.99%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.018 0.523
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.309 4.703
Takedown Defense 20.00% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 30.77% 11.11%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.435 1.324
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.008 4.772
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.995 2.839
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.305 0.488
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.560 0.714
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.560 1.411
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.416 0.523
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.585 0.540
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.662 0.714
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.144 0.157
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.221 0.174
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.221 0.662
Cody Garbrandt History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 11, 2021 Flyweight Kai Kara-France Cody Garbrandt Kai Kara-France
May 22, 2021 Bantamweight Rob Font Cody Garbrandt Rob Font
June 6, 2020 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Cody Garbrandt Cody Garbrandt
March 2, 2019 Bantamweight Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz Pedro Munhoz
Aug. 4, 2018 UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw Cody Garbrandt TJ Dillashaw
Nov. 4, 2017 UFC Bantamweight Title Cody Garbrandt TJ Dillashaw TJ Dillashaw
Dec. 30, 2016 UFC Bantamweight Title Dominick Cruz Cody Garbrandt Cody Garbrandt
Aug. 20, 2016 Bantamweight Cody Garbrandt Takeya Mizugaki Cody Garbrandt
May 29, 2016 Bantamweight Thomas Almeida Cody Garbrandt Cody Garbrandt
Feb. 21, 2016 Catch Weight Cody Garbrandt Augusto Mendes Cody Garbrandt
July 11, 2015 Bantamweight Cody Garbrandt Henry Briones Cody Garbrandt
Jan. 3, 2015 Bantamweight Marcus Brimage Cody Garbrandt Cody Garbrandt
Trevin Jones History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 1, 2022 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Trevin Jones Raoni Barcelos
March 12, 2022 Bantamweight Trevin Jones Javid Basharat Javid Basharat
Aug. 21, 2021 Bantamweight Trevin Jones Saidyokub Kakhramonov Saidyokub Kakhramonov
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Trevin Jones Trevin Jones
Aug. 22, 2020 Catch Weight Timur Valiev Trevin Jones None