Justin Tafa vs. Parker Porter - UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Justin Tafa by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Elevation: 0.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Justin Tafa
22
21.0
-139
Parker Porter
12
+115

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Justin Tafa Parker Porter
Main Stats
Age 29 37
Height 72" 72"
Reach 74" 75"
Win Percentage 62.50% 65.00%
Wins 6 13
Losses 2 8
Wins at Weight Class 2 3
Losses at Weight Class 3 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 59.23% 54.79%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.02% 50.45%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.967 7.826
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.023 6.198
Knockdowns per Fight 0.833 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -4.20% 7.40%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -6.60% -1.20%
Striking Output Differential -16.40% 8.80%
Significant Striking Output Differential -18.60% -2.20%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 97.21% 80.85%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 114.92% 99.70%
Striking Defense Percentage 49.29% 49.48%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.278
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.388
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.833 5.550
Takedown Defense 100.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 25.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.748 4.403
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.522 10.305
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.247 4.218
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.499 0.703
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.804 0.796
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.859 1.240
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.777 1.092
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.805 1.184
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.833 0.851
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.583 0.666
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.722 0.851
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.833 0.703
Justin Tafa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 18, 2021 Heavyweight Justin Tafa Harry Hunsucker Justin Tafa
May 22, 2021 Heavyweight Justin Tafa Jared Vanderaa Jared Vanderaa
Jan. 16, 2021 Heavyweight Carlos Felipe Justin Tafa Carlos Felipe
Feb. 8, 2020 Heavyweight Juan Adams Justin Tafa Justin Tafa
Oct. 5, 2019 Heavyweight Justin Tafa Yorgan De Castro Yorgan De Castro
Parker Porter History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 21, 2022 Heavyweight Jailton Almeida Parker Porter Jailton Almeida
Feb. 19, 2022 Heavyweight Parker Porter Alan Baudot Parker Porter
Aug. 21, 2021 Heavyweight Parker Porter Chase Sherman Parker Porter
Nov. 28, 2020 Heavyweight Josh Parisian Parker Porter Parker Porter
Aug. 15, 2020 Heavyweight Chris Daukaus Parker Porter Chris Daukaus