Jack Della Maddalena vs. Randy Brown - UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jack Della Maddalena by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Elevation: 0.00m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jack Della Maddalena
31
12
2.7
-325
Randy Brown
+250

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jack Della Maddalena Randy Brown
Main Stats
Age 26 32
Height 71" 75"
Reach 73" 78"
Win Percentage 86.67% 80.00%
Wins 14 16
Losses 2 5
Wins at Weight Class 3 10
Losses at Weight Class 0 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.14% 51.48%
Significant Striking Accuracy 53.11% 48.02%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 11.439 5.150
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 10.542 4.383
Knockdowns per Fight 6.729 0.394
Striking Impact Differential 21.67% -5.43%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 19.00% 12.29%
Striking Output Differential 19.67% 0.43%
Significant Striking Output Differential 17.00% 21.14%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 87.25% 83.82%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 94.68% 89.67%
Striking Defense Percentage 70.63% 54.70%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.591
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.689
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 2.067
Takedown Defense 50.00% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 8.075 2.854
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 15.925 7.119
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.243 1.273
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 2.355 0.873
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.589 1.174
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.897 0.551
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.112 0.656
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.336 0.833
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.009 1.430
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.561 0.774
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.561 0.938
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.112 0.315
Jack Della Maddalena History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 19, 2022 Welterweight Jack Della Maddalena Danny Roberts Jack Della Maddalena
June 11, 2022 Welterweight Jack Della Maddalena Ramazan Emeev Jack Della Maddalena
Jan. 22, 2022 Welterweight Jack Della Maddalena Pete Rodriguez Jack Della Maddalena
Randy Brown History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 1, 2022 Welterweight Randy Brown Francisco Trinaldo Randy Brown
May 7, 2022 Welterweight Randy Brown Khaos Williams Randy Brown
Oct. 9, 2021 Welterweight Randy Brown Jared Gooden Randy Brown
April 24, 2021 Welterweight Alex Oliveira Randy Brown Randy Brown
Aug. 1, 2020 Welterweight Vicente Luque Randy Brown Vicente Luque
Nov. 16, 2019 Welterweight Warlley Alves Randy Brown Randy Brown
June 22, 2019 Welterweight Bryan Barberena Randy Brown Randy Brown
July 14, 2018 Welterweight Randy Brown Niko Price Niko Price
Nov. 4, 2017 Welterweight Randy Brown Mickey Gall Randy Brown
Feb. 11, 2017 Welterweight Randy Brown Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
Dec. 9, 2016 Welterweight Randy Brown Brian Camozzi Randy Brown
Sept. 17, 2016 Welterweight Erick Montano Randy Brown Randy Brown
April 16, 2016 Welterweight Randy Brown Michael Graves Michael Graves
Jan. 30, 2016 Welterweight Matt Dwyer Randy Brown Randy Brown