The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Warlley Alves | Nicolas Dalby | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 32 | 38 | 33 | |
| Height | 71" | 71" | 72" | |
| Reach | 72" | 74" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 75.00% | 83.33% | 78.41% | |
| Wins | 15 | 21 | ||
| Losses | 6 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 5 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 53.11% | 47.60% | 52.54% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 48.21% | 39.52% | 46.62% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.893 | 4.601 | 5.762 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.075 | 3.225 | 4.312 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.354 | 0.000 | 0.581 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -12.69% | -1.33% | 4.12% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -5.46% | 0.11% | 1.69% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -17.77% | 14.22% | 4.68% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -10.54% | 16.00% | 1.93% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 101.62% | 85.31% | 95.07% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 124.30% | 116.92% | 117.42% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 51.27% | 53.96% | 53.57% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.062 | 0.122 | 0.540 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.416 | 1.222 | 1.282 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 2.713 | 3.909 | 3.696 | |
| Takedown Defense | 26.67% | 52.17% | 66.64% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 52.17% | 31.25% | 37.65% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.675 | 1.954 | 2.846 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.451 | 6.124 | 7.190 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.461 | 1.914 | 2.563 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.779 | 0.619 | 0.799 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.101 | 1.181 | 1.166 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.802 | 0.774 | 0.812 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.621 | 0.652 | 0.667 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.826 | 0.855 | 0.781 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.370 | 0.529 | 0.656 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.527 | 0.831 | 0.413 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.708 | 1.279 | 0.580 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.739 | 0.366 | 0.393 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 26, 2021 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Jeremiah Wells | Jeremiah Wells | |
| Jan. 20, 2021 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Mounir Lazzez | Warlley Alves | |
| Nov. 16, 2019 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Randy Brown | Randy Brown | |
| May 11, 2019 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Sergio Moraes | Warlley Alves | |
| Aug. 25, 2018 | Welterweight | James Krause | Warlley Alves | James Krause | |
| May 12, 2018 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Sultan Aliev | Warlley Alves | |
| Oct. 21, 2017 | Welterweight | Salim Touahri | Warlley Alves | Warlley Alves | |
| Nov. 19, 2016 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Kamaru Usman | Kamaru Usman | |
| May 14, 2016 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| Dec. 12, 2015 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Colby Covington | Warlley Alves | |
| Aug. 1, 2015 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves | |
| Nov. 8, 2014 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Alan Jouban | Warlley Alves | |
| May 31, 2014 | Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Middleweight Tournament Title | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves | Warlley Alves |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2022 | Welterweight | Claudio Silva | Nicolas Dalby | Nicolas Dalby | |
| June 26, 2021 | Welterweight | Tim Means | Nicolas Dalby | Tim Means | |
| Nov. 21, 2020 | Welterweight | Daniel Rodriguez | Nicolas Dalby | Nicolas Dalby | |
| July 25, 2020 | Welterweight | Nicolas Dalby | Jesse Ronson | None | |
| Sept. 28, 2019 | Welterweight | Nicolas Dalby | Alex Oliveira | Nicolas Dalby | |
| Sept. 3, 2016 | Welterweight | Peter Sobotta | Nicolas Dalby | Peter Sobotta | |
| April 10, 2016 | Welterweight | Nicolas Dalby | Zak Cummings | Zak Cummings | |
| Oct. 24, 2015 | Welterweight | Nicolas Dalby | Darren Till | None | |
| May 30, 2015 | Welterweight | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Nicolas Dalby | Nicolas Dalby |