The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Mauricio Rua | Ihor Potieria | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 41 | 26 | 32 | |
| Height | 73" | 75" | 74" | |
| Reach | 76" | 75" | 77" | |
| Win Percentage | 67.50% | 85.71% | 78.72% | |
| Wins | 27 | 19 | ||
| Losses | 14 | 3 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 10 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 10 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 60.15% | 61.18% | 54.24% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 51.48% | 54.29% | 48.92% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.047 | 6.082 | 5.289 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.340 | 4.444 | 4.059 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.805 | 0.000 | 0.591 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -3.61% | -20.00% | 2.72% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -1.09% | -13.00% | 4.46% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -10.57% | -37.00% | 6.72% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -8.13% | -25.00% | 8.59% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 78.42% | 96.15% | 77.31% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 112.86% | 115.79% | 94.55% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 52.32% | 46.32% | 49.02% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.230 | 0.000 | 0.413 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.553 | 0.000 | 1.135 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.624 | 0.000 | 2.808 | |
| Takedown Defense | 117.24% | 200.00% | 76.91% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 42.86% | 0.00% | 29.91% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.006 | 3.041 | 2.654 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.744 | 6.784 | 6.402 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.301 | 5.146 | 2.279 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.525 | 0.351 | 0.830 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.729 | 0.351 | 1.141 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.779 | 0.819 | 0.688 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.809 | 1.053 | 0.574 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.016 | 1.053 | 0.697 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.357 | 0.000 | 0.604 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.499 | 0.702 | 0.564 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.706 | 0.819 | 0.749 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.548 | 2.924 | 0.484 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Nov. 21, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Paul Craig | Paul Craig | |
| July 25, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Rogerio Nogueira | Mauricio Rua | |
| Nov. 16, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Paul Craig | None | |
| Dec. 1, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Tyson Pedro | Mauricio Rua | |
| July 22, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Anthony Smith | Anthony Smith | |
| March 11, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Gian Villante | Mauricio Rua | |
| May 14, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua | |
| Aug. 1, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Rogerio Nogueira | Mauricio Rua | |
| Nov. 8, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| March 23, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Dan Henderson | Dan Henderson | |
| Dec. 6, 2013 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua | |
| Aug. 17, 2013 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Chael Sonnen | Chael Sonnen | |
| Dec. 8, 2012 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Alexander Gustafsson | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Aug. 4, 2012 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua | |
| Nov. 19, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Dan Henderson | Dan Henderson | |
| Aug. 27, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua | |
| March 19, 2011 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Mauricio Rua | Jon Jones | Jon Jones | |
| May 8, 2010 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Lyoto Machida | Mauricio Rua | Mauricio Rua | |
| Oct. 24, 2009 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Lyoto Machida | Mauricio Rua | Lyoto Machida | |
| April 18, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Chuck Liddell | Mauricio Rua | |
| Jan. 17, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Mark Coleman | Mauricio Rua | |
| Sept. 22, 2007 | Light Heavyweight | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua | Forrest Griffin |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 30, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Nicolae Negumereanu | Ihor Potieria | Nicolae Negumereanu |