Lauren Murphy vs. Jessica Andrade - UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jessica Andrade by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Elevation: 2.00m
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Lauren Murphy
+380
Jessica Andrade
27
15
-5.5
-550

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Lauren Murphy Jessica Andrade
Main Stats
Age 39 31
Height 65" 61"
Reach 67" 62"
Win Percentage 76.19% 71.88%
Wins 16 24
Losses 6 9
Wins at Weight Class 7 2
Losses at Weight Class 1 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 51.66% 57.39%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.18% 50.20%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.432 8.584
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.837 6.158
Knockdowns per Fight 0.079 0.225
Striking Impact Differential 1.85% 20.86%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -8.92% 9.52%
Striking Output Differential -4.69% 24.14%
Significant Striking Output Differential -17.08% 11.76%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 100.58% 70.22%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 163.50% 95.37%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.50% 53.24%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.079 0.450
Takedowns per Fight 1.110 2.851
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.251 5.177
Takedown Defense 40.63% 51.52%
Takedown Accuracy 34.15% 55.07%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.775 3.992
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.198 9.414
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.738 3.426
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.539 1.576
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.766 2.191
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.909 0.915
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.523 0.590
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.587 0.660
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.803 0.815
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.608 1.311
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.745 2.101
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.465 0.965
Lauren Murphy History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 16, 2022 Women's Flyweight Lauren Murphy Miesha Tate Lauren Murphy
Sept. 25, 2021 UFC Women's Flyweight Title Valentina Shevchenko Lauren Murphy Valentina Shevchenko
June 12, 2021 Women's Flyweight Lauren Murphy Joanne Wood Lauren Murphy
Oct. 24, 2020 Women's Flyweight Lauren Murphy Liliya Shakirova Lauren Murphy
June 20, 2020 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Lauren Murphy Lauren Murphy
Feb. 8, 2020 Women's Flyweight Lauren Murphy Andrea Lee Lauren Murphy
Aug. 3, 2019 Women's Flyweight Lauren Murphy Mara Romero Borella Lauren Murphy
June 1, 2018 Women's Flyweight Sijara Eubanks Lauren Murphy Sijara Eubanks
Dec. 1, 2017 Women's Flyweight Barb Honchak Lauren Murphy Lauren Murphy
July 13, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Lauren Murphy Katlyn Cerminara Katlyn Cerminara
Feb. 21, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Lauren Murphy Kelly Faszholz Lauren Murphy
April 4, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Liz Carmouche Lauren Murphy Liz Carmouche
Aug. 16, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Lauren Murphy Sara McMann
Jessica Andrade History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 23, 2022 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Sept. 25, 2021 Women's Flyweight Jessica Andrade Cynthia Calvillo Jessica Andrade
April 24, 2021 UFC Women's Flyweight Title Valentina Shevchenko Jessica Andrade Valentina Shevchenko
Oct. 17, 2020 Women's Flyweight Katlyn Cerminara Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
July 11, 2020 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas Rose Namajunas
Aug. 31, 2019 UFC Women's Strawweight Title Jessica Andrade Zhang Weili Zhang Weili
May 11, 2019 UFC Women's Strawweight Title Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Sept. 8, 2018 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Karolina Kowalkiewicz Jessica Andrade
Feb. 24, 2018 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Tecia Pennington Jessica Andrade
Sept. 22, 2017 Women's Strawweight Claudia Gadelha Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
May 13, 2017 UFC Women's Strawweight Title Joanna Jedrzejczyk Jessica Andrade Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Feb. 4, 2017 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Angela Hill Jessica Andrade
Sept. 10, 2016 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Joanne Wood Jessica Andrade
June 4, 2016 Women's Strawweight Jessica Penne Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Sept. 5, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
July 15, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Sarah Moras Jessica Andrade
Feb. 22, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Marion Reneau Marion Reneau
Sept. 13, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Larissa Pacheco Jessica Andrade
March 15, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Oct. 26, 2013 Women's Bantamweight Rosi Sexton Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
July 27, 2013 Women's Bantamweight Liz Carmouche Jessica Andrade Liz Carmouche