Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny - UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Gilbert Burns by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Elevation: 2.00m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Gilbert Burns
25
-4.2
-500
Neil Magny
14
+350

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Gilbert Burns Neil Magny
Main Stats
Age 36 35
Height 70" 75"
Reach 71" 80"
Win Percentage 80.00% 72.97%
Wins 21 27
Losses 5 11
Wins at Weight Class 6 20
Losses at Weight Class 1 8
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.66% 58.24%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.21% 46.25%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.151 6.282
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.464 3.617
Knockdowns per Fight 0.286 0.084
Striking Impact Differential 9.44% 35.68%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.94% 17.29%
Striking Output Differential 8.56% 56.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential 1.06% 36.25%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 77.98% 46.11%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 112.10% 75.23%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.73% 54.56%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.572 0.293
Takedowns per Fight 2.001 2.428
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.789 5.735
Takedown Defense 109.09% 73.58%
Takedown Accuracy 34.57% 42.34%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.082 2.523
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.398 6.372
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.025 1.384
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.772 0.712
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.991 0.946
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.591 0.366
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.610 0.382
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.796 0.502
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.596 0.516
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.381 0.695
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.567 0.885
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.334 0.243
Gilbert Burns History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 9, 2022 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Khamzat Chimaev Khamzat Chimaev
July 10, 2021 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Stephen Thompson Gilbert Burns
Feb. 13, 2021 UFC Welterweight Title Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman
May 30, 2020 Welterweight Tyron Woodley Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
March 14, 2020 Welterweight Demian Maia Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Sept. 28, 2019 Welterweight Gunnar Nelson Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Aug. 10, 2019 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Aleksei Kunchenko Gilbert Burns
April 27, 2019 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Mike Davis Gilbert Burns
Dec. 8, 2018 Lightweight Olivier Aubin-Mercier Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
July 7, 2018 Lightweight Dan Hooker Gilbert Burns Dan Hooker
April 14, 2018 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Dan Moret Gilbert Burns
Sept. 16, 2017 Lightweight Jason Saggo Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Sept. 24, 2016 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Michel Prazeres Michel Prazeres
July 7, 2016 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Lukasz Sajewski Gilbert Burns
Nov. 7, 2015 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Rashid Magomedov Rashid Magomedov
March 21, 2015 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Alex Oliveira Gilbert Burns
Oct. 25, 2014 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Christos Giagos Gilbert Burns
July 26, 2014 Welterweight Andreas Stahl Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Neil Magny History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 5, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Daniel Rodriguez Neil Magny
June 25, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Shavkat Rakhmonov Shavkat Rakhmonov
March 26, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Max Griffin Neil Magny
May 8, 2021 Welterweight Neil Magny Geoff Neal Neil Magny
Jan. 20, 2021 Welterweight Michael Chiesa Neil Magny Michael Chiesa
Aug. 29, 2020 Welterweight Robbie Lawler Neil Magny Neil Magny
June 6, 2020 Welterweight Neil Magny Anthony Rocco Martin Neil Magny
March 7, 2020 Welterweight Neil Magny Li Jingliang Neil Magny
Nov. 17, 2018 Welterweight Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio Santiago Ponzinibbio
May 27, 2018 Welterweight Neil Magny Craig White Neil Magny
Dec. 30, 2017 Welterweight Carlos Condit Neil Magny Neil Magny
Sept. 9, 2017 Welterweight Neil Magny Rafael Dos Anjos Rafael Dos Anjos
Dec. 30, 2016 Welterweight Johny Hendricks Neil Magny Neil Magny
Aug. 20, 2016 Welterweight Neil Magny Lorenz Larkin Lorenz Larkin
March 19, 2016 Welterweight Hector Lombard Neil Magny Neil Magny
Nov. 21, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Kelvin Gastelum Neil Magny
Aug. 23, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Erick Silva Neil Magny
Aug. 1, 2015 Welterweight Demian Maia Neil Magny Demian Maia
May 16, 2015 Welterweight Hyun Gyu Lim Neil Magny Neil Magny
Feb. 14, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Kiichi Kunimoto Neil Magny
Oct. 25, 2014 Welterweight William Macario Neil Magny Neil Magny
Aug. 23, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Alex Garcia Neil Magny
June 28, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Rodrigo de Lima Neil Magny
May 10, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Tim Means Neil Magny
Feb. 1, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Gasan Umalatov Neil Magny
Nov. 6, 2013 Welterweight Neil Magny Seth Baczynski Seth Baczynski
Aug. 3, 2013 Welterweight Sergio Moraes Neil Magny Sergio Moraes
Feb. 23, 2013 Welterweight Jon Manley Neil Magny Neil Magny