Paddy Pimblett vs. Jared Gordon - UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Paddy Pimblett by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Paddy Pimblett
29
5.8
-275
Jared Gordon
12
+200

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Paddy Pimblett Jared Gordon
Main Stats
Age 27 34
Height 70" 69"
Reach 73" 68"
Win Percentage 86.36% 82.61%
Wins 20 19
Losses 3 5
Wins at Weight Class 3 4
Losses at Weight Class 0 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 57.75% 70.83%
Significant Striking Accuracy 53.17% 58.87%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.125 10.715
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.188 5.531
Knockdowns per Fight 0.938 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -1.67% 77.91%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 6.33% 28.55%
Striking Output Differential 5.67% 78.45%
Significant Striking Output Differential 14.67% 23.82%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 46.34% 40.75%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 50.75% 77.13%
Striking Defense Percentage 41.46% 57.85%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 4.688 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.875 1.967
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.688 4.976
Takedown Defense 66.67% 71.43%
Takedown Accuracy 40.00% 39.53%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.750 4.019
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.250 7.514
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.500 1.990
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.563 0.980
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.750 1.288
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.938 0.733
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.875 0.532
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.875 0.594
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.563 0.386
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.563 0.764
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.688 0.964
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.750 0.417
Paddy Pimblett History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 23, 2022 Lightweight Paddy Pimblett Jordan Leavitt Paddy Pimblett
March 19, 2022 Lightweight Paddy Pimblett Kazula Vargas Paddy Pimblett
Sept. 4, 2021 Lightweight Paddy Pimblett Luigi Vendramini Paddy Pimblett
Jared Gordon History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 20, 2022 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
April 30, 2022 Lightweight Jared Gordon Grant Dawson Grant Dawson
Oct. 2, 2021 Lightweight Joe Solecki Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
Feb. 20, 2021 Featherweight Jared Gordon Danny Chavez Jared Gordon
July 15, 2020 Featherweight Jared Gordon Chris Fishgold Jared Gordon
Nov. 16, 2019 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Jared Gordon Charles Oliveira
June 29, 2019 Lightweight Jared Gordon Dan Moret Jared Gordon
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Jared Gordon Joaquim Silva Joaquim Silva
Feb. 18, 2018 Lightweight Jared Gordon Diego Ferreira Diego Ferreira
Oct. 28, 2017 Lightweight Hacran Dias Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
June 25, 2017 Featherweight Jared Gordon Michel Quinones Jared Gordon