Chris Curtis vs. Joaquin Buckley - UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Chris Curtis by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Chris Curtis
6
+130
Joaquin Buckley
20
13.7
-190

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Chris Curtis Joaquin Buckley
Main Stats
Age 35 28
Height 70" 70"
Reach 75" 76"
Win Percentage 76.32% 75.00%
Wins 30 15
Losses 8 6
Wins at Weight Class 3 5
Losses at Weight Class 1 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.98% 35.80%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.06% 32.94%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.205 4.115
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.650 3.612
Knockdowns per Fight 0.724 1.161
Striking Impact Differential -6.50% -2.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -10.75% 1.88%
Striking Output Differential -28.00% 26.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential -33.00% 33.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 108.95% 107.21%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 119.66% 113.21%
Striking Defense Percentage 50.27% 54.47%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.355
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 4.451
Takedown Defense 100.00% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 30.43%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.646 1.858
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.654 8.153
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.912 2.064
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.907 1.264
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.487 2.206
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.352 0.826
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.097 0.490
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.121 0.606
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.425 0.529
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.386 0.310
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.435 0.452
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.241 0.271
Chris Curtis History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 23, 2022 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis Jack Hermansson
June 25, 2022 Middleweight Chris Curtis Rodolfo Vieira Chris Curtis
Dec. 4, 2021 Middleweight Brendan Allen Chris Curtis Chris Curtis
Nov. 6, 2021 Middleweight Phil Hawes Chris Curtis Chris Curtis
Joaquin Buckley History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 3, 2022 Middleweight Nassourdine Imavov Joaquin Buckley Nassourdine Imavov
June 18, 2022 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Albert Duraev Joaquin Buckley
Feb. 19, 2022 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Abdul Razak Alhassan Joaquin Buckley
Sept. 18, 2021 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Antonio Arroyo Joaquin Buckley
Jan. 16, 2021 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Alessio Di Chirico Alessio Di Chirico
Nov. 21, 2020 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Jordan Wright Joaquin Buckley
Oct. 10, 2020 Middleweight Impa Kasanganay Joaquin Buckley Joaquin Buckley
Aug. 8, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Joaquin Buckley Kevin Holland