Billy Quarantillo vs. Alexander Hernandez - UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Billy Quarantillo by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Billy Quarantillo
10
16
5.3
-185
Alexander Hernandez
+138

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Billy Quarantillo Alexander Hernandez
Main Stats
Age 34 30
Height 70" 69"
Reach 70" 72"
Win Percentage 80.00% 72.22%
Wins 17 13
Losses 4 6
Wins at Weight Class 3 0
Losses at Weight Class 2 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 64.12% 42.09%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.84% 37.84%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 11.312 4.828
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.135 3.969
Knockdowns per Fight 0.389 0.614
Striking Impact Differential 53.00% 3.78%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 16.33% 0.22%
Striking Output Differential 82.50% 13.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential 39.17% 9.11%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 35.67% 112.43%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 54.18% 136.77%
Striking Defense Percentage 39.73% 57.93%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.557 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.557 1.432
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.616 4.296
Takedown Defense 76.92% 55.56%
Takedown Accuracy 23.53% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 5.241 1.978
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 10.430 7.297
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 4.061 2.701
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.440 1.391
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.855 2.455
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.220 0.764
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.454 0.600
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.493 0.737
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.584 0.477
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.012 0.641
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.245 0.928
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.077 0.491
Billy Quarantillo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 6, 2021 Featherweight Shane Burgos Billy Quarantillo Shane Burgos
July 17, 2021 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Billy Quarantillo Billy Quarantillo
Dec. 12, 2020 Featherweight Gavin Tucker Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker
Sept. 12, 2020 Featherweight Billy Quarantillo Kyle Nelson Billy Quarantillo
May 30, 2020 Catch Weight Billy Quarantillo Spike Carlyle Billy Quarantillo
Dec. 7, 2019 Featherweight Billy Quarantillo Jacob Kilburn Billy Quarantillo
Alexander Hernandez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 12, 2022 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
Oct. 2, 2021 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Mike Breeden Alexander Hernandez
Feb. 27, 2021 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Thiago Moises Thiago Moises
Oct. 31, 2020 Lightweight Chris Gruetzemacher Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez
May 13, 2020 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Drew Dober Drew Dober
July 20, 2019 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Francisco Trinaldo Alexander Hernandez
Jan. 19, 2019 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone Donald Cerrone
July 28, 2018 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Olivier Aubin-Mercier Alexander Hernandez
March 3, 2018 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez