Israel Adesanya vs. Alex Pereira - UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Alex Pereira by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: New York City, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: UFC Middleweight Title
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Israel Adesanya
25
9
-8.6
-715
Alex Pereira
+175

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Israel Adesanya Alex Pereira
Main Stats
Age 33 35
Height 76" 76"
Reach 80" 79"
Win Percentage 95.83% 85.71%
Wins 23 7
Losses 2 1
Wins at Weight Class 6 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.83% 68.91%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.92% 60.76%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.610 9.389
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.928 6.288
Knockdowns per Fight 0.763 1.310
Striking Impact Differential 18.46% 39.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 22.77% 22.33%
Striking Output Differential 15.85% 34.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential 21.85% 16.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.88% 51.16%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 101.62% 76.39%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.89% 58.82%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.191 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.191 0.000
Takedown Defense 26.87% 36.36%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.992 3.013
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.415 6.332
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.572 2.227
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.682 2.533
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.000 3.057
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.542 0.611
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.254 0.742
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.453 0.961
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.559 0.524
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.242 1.223
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.305 1.485
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.220 0.393
Israel Adesanya History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 2, 2022 UFC Middleweight Title Israel Adesanya Jared Cannonier Israel Adesanya
Feb. 12, 2022 UFC Middleweight Title Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker Israel Adesanya
June 12, 2021 UFC Middleweight Title Israel Adesanya Marvin Vettori Israel Adesanya
March 6, 2021 UFC Light Heavyweight Title Jan Blachowicz Israel Adesanya Jan Blachowicz
Sept. 26, 2020 UFC Middleweight Title Israel Adesanya Paulo Costa Israel Adesanya
March 7, 2020 UFC Middleweight Title Israel Adesanya Yoel Romero Israel Adesanya
Oct. 5, 2019 UFC Middleweight Title Robert Whittaker Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya
April 13, 2019 UFC Interim Middleweight Title Kelvin Gastelum Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya
Feb. 9, 2019 Middleweight Israel Adesanya Anderson Silva Israel Adesanya
Nov. 3, 2018 Middleweight Derek Brunson Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya
July 6, 2018 Middleweight Brad Tavares Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya
April 14, 2018 Middleweight Israel Adesanya Marvin Vettori Israel Adesanya
Feb. 10, 2018 Middleweight Rob Wilkinson Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya
Alex Pereira History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 2, 2022 Middleweight Sean Strickland Alex Pereira Alex Pereira
March 12, 2022 Middleweight Alex Pereira Bruno Silva Alex Pereira
Nov. 6, 2021 Middleweight Alex Pereira Andreas Michailidis Alex Pereira