The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Frankie Edgar | Chris Gutierrez | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 41 | 31 | 32 | |
| Height | 66" | 69" | 68" | |
| Reach | 68" | 67" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 69.70% | 85.71% | 79.01% | |
| Wins | 23 | 19 | ||
| Losses | 11 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 1 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 47.70% | 59.86% | 50.21% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 40.53% | 58.57% | 44.34% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.217 | 5.068 | 5.439 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.786 | 4.693 | 4.096 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.095 | 0.593 | 0.484 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 27.66% | 10.00% | 4.16% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 15.97% | 26.38% | 2.12% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 30.90% | -13.38% | 5.80% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 17.52% | 9.75% | 3.76% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 105.85% | 103.51% | 102.73% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 144.25% | 98.74% | 128.29% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 66.01% | 63.98% | 55.29% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.316 | 0.148 | 0.457 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 2.305 | 0.445 | 1.705 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 7.324 | 1.186 | 4.080 | |
| Takedown Defense | 52.38% | 36.00% | 76.59% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 31.47% | 37.50% | 33.54% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.515 | 1.877 | 2.598 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.450 | 4.318 | 7.100 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.081 | 1.433 | 2.380 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.724 | 0.702 | 0.824 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.189 | 1.008 | 1.252 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.429 | 0.692 | 0.800 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.547 | 2.114 | 0.674 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.703 | 2.687 | 0.830 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.301 | 0.484 | 0.650 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.272 | 0.148 | 0.410 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.436 | 0.217 | 0.569 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.196 | 0.030 | 0.381 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 6, 2021 | Bantamweight | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| Feb. 6, 2021 | Bantamweight | Cory Sandhagen | Frankie Edgar | Cory Sandhagen | |
| Aug. 22, 2020 | Bantamweight | Pedro Munhoz | Frankie Edgar | Frankie Edgar | |
| Dec. 21, 2019 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Chan Sung Jung | Chan Sung Jung | |
| July 27, 2019 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Frankie Edgar | Max Holloway | |
| April 21, 2018 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Cub Swanson | Frankie Edgar | |
| March 3, 2018 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Brian Ortega | Brian Ortega | |
| May 13, 2017 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez | Frankie Edgar | |
| Nov. 12, 2016 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Jeremy Stephens | Frankie Edgar | |
| July 9, 2016 | UFC Interim Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Frankie Edgar | Jose Aldo | |
| Dec. 11, 2015 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar | |
| May 16, 2015 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Urijah Faber | Frankie Edgar | |
| Nov. 22, 2014 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Cub Swanson | Frankie Edgar | |
| July 6, 2014 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar | |
| July 6, 2013 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Charles Oliveira | Frankie Edgar | |
| Feb. 2, 2013 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Frankie Edgar | Jose Aldo | |
| Aug. 11, 2012 | UFC Lightweight Title | Benson Henderson | Frankie Edgar | Benson Henderson | |
| Feb. 25, 2012 | UFC Lightweight Title | Frankie Edgar | Benson Henderson | Benson Henderson | |
| Oct. 8, 2011 | UFC Lightweight Title | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard | Frankie Edgar | |
| Jan. 1, 2011 | UFC Lightweight Title | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard | None | |
| Aug. 28, 2010 | UFC Lightweight Title | Frankie Edgar | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar | |
| April 10, 2010 | UFC Lightweight Title | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar | Frankie Edgar | |
| Dec. 5, 2009 | Lightweight | Frankie Edgar | Matt Veach | Frankie Edgar | |
| May 23, 2009 | Lightweight | Frankie Edgar | Sean Sherk | Frankie Edgar | |
| July 19, 2008 | Lightweight | Frankie Edgar | Hermes Franca | Frankie Edgar | |
| April 2, 2008 | Lightweight | Gray Maynard | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard | |
| Nov. 17, 2007 | Lightweight | Frankie Edgar | Spencer Fisher | Frankie Edgar | |
| July 7, 2007 | Lightweight | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek | Frankie Edgar | |
| Feb. 3, 2007 | Lightweight | Frankie Edgar | Tyson Griffin | Frankie Edgar |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 26, 2022 | Bantamweight | Chris Gutierrez | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez | |
| Oct. 9, 2021 | Bantamweight | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares | Chris Gutierrez | |
| Feb. 13, 2021 | Catch Weight | Andre Ewell | Chris Gutierrez | Chris Gutierrez | |
| Aug. 1, 2020 | Bantamweight | Chris Gutierrez | Cody Durden | None | |
| May 30, 2020 | Featherweight | Chris Gutierrez | Vince Morales | Chris Gutierrez | |
| Aug. 10, 2019 | Bantamweight | Geraldo de Freitas | Chris Gutierrez | Chris Gutierrez | |
| March 23, 2019 | Bantamweight | Ryan MacDonald | Chris Gutierrez | Chris Gutierrez | |
| Nov. 30, 2018 | Bantamweight | Raoni Barcelos | Chris Gutierrez | Raoni Barcelos |