Erin Blanchfield vs. Molly McCann - UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Erin Blanchfield by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: New York City, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Erin Blanchfield
28
21
-2.7
-450
Molly McCann
+300

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Erin Blanchfield Molly McCann
Main Stats
Age 23 32
Height 64" 64"
Reach 66" 62"
Win Percentage 90.00% 76.47%
Wins 10 13
Losses 1 5
Wins at Weight Class 3 6
Losses at Weight Class 0 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 63.84% 53.15%
Significant Striking Accuracy 56.46% 50.04%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.619 6.657
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.686 5.841
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.266
Striking Impact Differential 79.00% 10.78%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 40.00% 12.56%
Striking Output Differential 94.00% -27.11%
Significant Striking Output Differential 43.33% -24.11%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 44.20% 133.56%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 72.43% 149.92%
Striking Defense Percentage 62.25% 64.41%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.797 0.532
Takedowns per Fight 3.986 1.729
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.979 4.920
Takedown Defense 33.33% 115.38%
Takedown Accuracy 66.67% 35.14%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 4.198 4.140
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.397 9.547
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.621 2.863
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.930 0.993
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.983 1.303
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.425 1.330
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.558 0.709
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.691 0.824
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.452 0.647
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.425 0.505
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.505 0.736
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.106 0.656
Erin Blanchfield History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 4, 2022 Women's Flyweight Erin Blanchfield JJ Aldrich Erin Blanchfield
Dec. 11, 2021 Women's Flyweight Miranda Maverick Erin Blanchfield Erin Blanchfield
Sept. 18, 2021 Women's Flyweight Erin Blanchfield Sarah Alpar Erin Blanchfield
Molly McCann History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 23, 2022 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Hannah Goldy Molly McCann
March 19, 2022 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Luana Carolina Molly McCann
Sept. 4, 2021 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Ji Yeon Kim Molly McCann
Feb. 6, 2021 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Lara Procopio Lara Procopio
July 15, 2020 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Taila Santos Taila Santos
Oct. 18, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Diana Belbita Molly McCann
June 22, 2019 Women's Flyweight Ariane da Silva Molly McCann Molly McCann
March 16, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Priscila Cachoeira Molly McCann
May 27, 2018 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Molly McCann Gillian Robertson