The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 32 | 31 | 32 | |
| Height | 76" | 77" | 74" | |
| Reach | 77" | 79" | 77" | |
| Win Percentage | 80.00% | 74.07% | 78.64% | |
| Wins | 12 | 21 | ||
| Losses | 4 | 7 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 6 | 6 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 51.64% | 45.72% | 54.44% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 50.13% | 44.38% | 49.07% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.142 | 3.477 | 5.256 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.768 | 3.294 | 4.023 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.724 | 1.220 | 0.618 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 9.78% | -7.88% | 2.36% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 9.56% | 0.25% | 4.04% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 21.89% | -2.00% | 6.39% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 21.22% | 6.50% | 8.18% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 68.08% | 91.23% | 78.25% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 72.91% | 94.44% | 95.85% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 48.24% | 48.88% | 48.84% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.362 | 1.525 | 0.410 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.362 | 1.525 | 1.121 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.267 | 3.965 | 2.897 | |
| Takedown Defense | 25.00% | 112.50% | 77.58% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 28.57% | 38.46% | 28.42% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.293 | 2.725 | 2.591 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.445 | 6.750 | 6.287 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.100 | 2.399 | 2.291 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.412 | 0.549 | 0.847 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.847 | 0.630 | 1.161 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.809 | 0.407 | 0.695 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.062 | 0.020 | 0.584 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.219 | 0.041 | 0.706 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.821 | 0.447 | 0.617 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.495 | 0.366 | 0.560 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.579 | 0.508 | 0.745 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.157 | 0.386 | 0.484 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Dominick Reyes | Jiri Prochazka | Jiri Prochazka | |
| Sept. 26, 2020 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Dominick Reyes | Jan Blachowicz | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Feb. 8, 2020 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones | |
| Oct. 18, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Dominick Reyes | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes | |
| March 16, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Volkan Oezdemir | Dominick Reyes | Dominick Reyes | |
| Oct. 6, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Dominick Reyes | Dominick Reyes | |
| May 19, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Jared Cannonier | Dominick Reyes | Dominick Reyes | |
| Dec. 2, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Jeremy Kimball | Dominick Reyes | Dominick Reyes | |
| June 25, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Joachim Christensen | Dominick Reyes | Dominick Reyes |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Ryan Spann | Ion Cutelaba | Ryan Spann | |
| Sept. 18, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann | Anthony Smith | |
| March 13, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann | Ryan Spann | |
| Sept. 19, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann | Johnny Walker | |
| May 9, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Ryan Spann | Sam Alvey | Ryan Spann | |
| Oct. 12, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Ryan Spann | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann | |
| May 11, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Rogerio Nogueira | Ryan Spann | Ryan Spann | |
| Sept. 22, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Luis Henrique | Ryan Spann | Ryan Spann |