The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Carla Esparza | Zhang Weili | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 33 | 33 | |
| Height | 61" | 64" | 64" | |
| Reach | 63" | 63" | 64" | |
| Win Percentage | 76.92% | 88.00% | 80.93% | |
| Wins | 20 | 23 | ||
| Losses | 7 | 3 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 2 | 2 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 62.67% | 53.90% | 51.64% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 40.93% | 47.78% | 43.26% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.293 | 7.794 | 6.346 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.199 | 5.776 | 4.416 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.322 | 0.256 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 27.64% | 33.50% | 14.98% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -5.71% | 17.63% | 6.78% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 32.29% | 55.88% | 25.16% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -6.57% | 36.75% | 15.52% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 54.50% | 60.88% | 87.17% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 146.98% | 80.86% | 119.98% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 55.49% | 52.28% | 56.11% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.295 | 0.322 | 0.539 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 3.248 | 2.093 | 2.120 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 9.152 | 6.119 | 5.697 | |
| Takedown Defense | 111.76% | 66.67% | 97.21% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 35.48% | 34.21% | 39.67% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.609 | 3.188 | 2.888 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.571 | 8.127 | 7.760 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.091 | 2.319 | 2.071 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.330 | 0.773 | 0.600 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.463 | 1.288 | 0.991 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.349 | 0.805 | 0.769 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.261 | 1.814 | 0.928 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.340 | 2.673 | 1.355 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.153 | 1.138 | 0.948 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.310 | 0.462 | 0.404 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.507 | 0.633 | 0.615 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.236 | 0.429 | 0.498 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Rose Namajunas | Carla Esparza | Carla Esparza | |
| May 22, 2021 | Women's Strawweight | Yan Xiaonan | Carla Esparza | Carla Esparza | |
| July 25, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Marina Rodriguez | Carla Esparza | |
| May 9, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Carla Esparza | |
| Sept. 21, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Alexa Grasso | Carla Esparza | |
| April 27, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Virna Jandiroba | Carla Esparza | |
| Sept. 8, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez | Tatiana Suarez | |
| June 9, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Claudia Gadelha | Carla Esparza | Claudia Gadelha | |
| Dec. 30, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Cynthia Calvillo | Carla Esparza | Carla Esparza | |
| June 25, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz | Carla Esparza | |
| Feb. 19, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Randa Markos | Randa Markos | |
| April 23, 2016 | Women's Strawweight | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima | Carla Esparza | |
| March 14, 2015 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | |
| Dec. 12, 2014 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas | Carla Esparza |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2022 | Women's Strawweight | Zhang Weili | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili | |
| Nov. 6, 2021 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Rose Namajunas | Zhang Weili | Rose Namajunas | |
| April 24, 2021 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Zhang Weili | Rose Namajunas | Rose Namajunas | |
| March 7, 2020 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Zhang Weili | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili | |
| Aug. 31, 2019 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Jessica Andrade | Zhang Weili | Zhang Weili | |
| March 2, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili | Zhang Weili | |
| Nov. 24, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Zhang Weili | Jessica Aguilar | Zhang Weili | |
| Aug. 4, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Danielle Taylor | Zhang Weili | Zhang Weili |