Brad Riddell vs. Renato Moicano - UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Renato Moicano by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: New York City, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brad Riddell
11
-105
Renato Moicano
13
13.9
-152

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Brad Riddell Renato Moicano
Main Stats
Age 31 33
Height 67" 71"
Reach 71" 72"
Win Percentage 76.92% 76.19%
Wins 10 17
Losses 4 5
Wins at Weight Class 4 3
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 58.41% 50.83%
Significant Striking Accuracy 53.56% 48.09%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.843 5.438
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.734 4.797
Knockdowns per Fight 0.205 0.122
Striking Impact Differential 22.17% 8.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 14.33% 6.92%
Striking Output Differential 23.50% -2.77%
Significant Striking Output Differential 16.17% -4.31%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 69.32% 117.61%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 83.53% 132.66%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.64% 61.01%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.609
Takedowns per Fight 1.847 1.705
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.926 3.531
Takedown Defense 60.00% 36.36%
Takedown Accuracy 37.50% 48.28%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.106 3.344
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.746 8.101
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.176 2.679
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.013 0.479
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.409 0.739
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.848 0.682
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.616 0.974
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.684 1.136
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.534 0.706
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.219 0.146
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.260 0.187
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.219 0.154
Brad Riddell History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 2, 2022 Lightweight Brad Riddell Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Dec. 4, 2021 Lightweight Brad Riddell Rafael Fiziev Rafael Fiziev
June 12, 2021 Lightweight Drew Dober Brad Riddell Brad Riddell
Sept. 26, 2020 Lightweight Brad Riddell Alex Da Silva Brad Riddell
Feb. 22, 2020 Lightweight Brad Riddell Magomed Mustafaev Brad Riddell
Oct. 5, 2019 Lightweight Brad Riddell Jamie Mullarkey Brad Riddell
Renato Moicano History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 5, 2022 Catch Weight Rafael Dos Anjos Renato Moicano Rafael Dos Anjos
Feb. 12, 2022 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
June 26, 2021 Lightweight Renato Moicano Jai Herbert Renato Moicano
Dec. 12, 2020 Lightweight Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev Rafael Fiziev
March 14, 2020 Lightweight Renato Moicano Damir Hadzovic Renato Moicano
June 22, 2019 Featherweight Renato Moicano Chan Sung Jung Chan Sung Jung
Feb. 2, 2019 Featherweight Jose Aldo Renato Moicano Jose Aldo
Aug. 4, 2018 Featherweight Cub Swanson Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
April 7, 2018 Featherweight Renato Moicano Calvin Kattar Renato Moicano
July 29, 2017 Featherweight Brian Ortega Renato Moicano Brian Ortega
April 15, 2017 Featherweight Jeremy Stephens Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
May 14, 2016 Featherweight Renato Moicano Zubaira Tukhugov Renato Moicano
Dec. 20, 2014 Featherweight Tom Niinimaki Renato Moicano Renato Moicano