Belal Muhammad vs. Sean Brady - UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Belal Muhammad by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Belal Muhammad
16
+100
Sean Brady
22
18.9
-152

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Belal Muhammad Sean Brady
Main Stats
Age 34 29
Height 71" 70"
Reach 72" 72"
Win Percentage 87.50% 100.00%
Wins 22 15
Losses 3 1
Wins at Weight Class 12 5
Losses at Weight Class 4 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 51.48% 65.50%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.15% 54.14%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.005 8.000
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.312 3.908
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.230
Striking Impact Differential 40.44% 47.20%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.19% 9.00%
Striking Output Differential 59.13% 30.80%
Significant Striking Output Differential 16.69% -17.40%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.08% 68.39%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 120.92% 136.47%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.29% 62.37%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.202 0.920
Takedowns per Fight 2.289 3.218
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.529 5.287
Takedown Defense 9.09% 14.29%
Takedown Accuracy 35.05% 60.87%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.298 2.483
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.571 5.563
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.983 1.977
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.534 0.230
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.866 0.322
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.664 0.567
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.480 1.195
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.556 1.333
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.933 0.674
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.238 0.061
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.386 0.107
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.189 0.230
Belal Muhammad History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 16, 2022 Welterweight Vicente Luque Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
Dec. 18, 2021 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
June 12, 2021 Welterweight Demian Maia Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
March 13, 2021 Welterweight Leon Edwards Belal Muhammad None
Feb. 13, 2021 Welterweight Belal Muhammad Dhiego Lima Belal Muhammad
June 20, 2020 Welterweight Belal Muhammad Lyman Good Belal Muhammad
Sept. 7, 2019 Welterweight Belal Muhammad Takashi Sato Belal Muhammad
April 13, 2019 Welterweight Curtis Millender Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
Jan. 19, 2019 Welterweight Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal Geoff Neal
June 1, 2018 Welterweight Belal Muhammad Chance Rencountre Belal Muhammad
Nov. 18, 2017 Welterweight Tim Means Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
July 8, 2017 Welterweight Jordan Mein Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
Feb. 11, 2017 Welterweight Randy Brown Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
Nov. 12, 2016 Welterweight Vicente Luque Belal Muhammad Vicente Luque
Sept. 17, 2016 Welterweight Augusto Montano Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
July 7, 2016 Welterweight Alan Jouban Belal Muhammad Alan Jouban
Sean Brady History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 20, 2021 Welterweight Michael Chiesa Sean Brady Sean Brady
March 6, 2021 Welterweight Sean Brady Jake Matthews Sean Brady
Aug. 29, 2020 Welterweight Sean Brady Christian Aguilera Sean Brady
Feb. 29, 2020 Welterweight Sean Brady Ismail Naurdiev Sean Brady
Oct. 18, 2019 Welterweight Court McGee Sean Brady Sean Brady