The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 33 | 36 | 33 | |
| Height | 67" | 66" | 67" | |
| Reach | 71" | 67" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 87.50% | 81.82% | 87.55% | |
| Wins | 22 | 18 | ||
| Losses | 3 | 5 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 2 | 5 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 58.72% | 47.72% | 56.20% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 50.00% | 41.20% | 49.16% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.746 | 7.123 | 7.224 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.557 | 5.260 | 5.296 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.637 | 0.505 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 38.69% | 41.12% | 44.88% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 30.63% | 24.76% | 31.85% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 52.75% | 65.12% | 52.67% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 44.63% | 45.94% | 38.76% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 54.49% | 82.52% | 69.55% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 76.72% | 110.40% | 91.83% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 60.99% | 63.95% | 63.49% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.782 | 0.849 | 0.648 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.706 | 1.628 | 1.701 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 7.888 | 5.307 | 5.409 | |
| Takedown Defense | 142.86% | 15.63% | 69.91% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 21.62% | 30.67% | 36.78% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.236 | 3.514 | 3.281 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.808 | 10.402 | 8.074 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.094 | 2.307 | 1.631 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.535 | 0.760 | 1.310 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.227 | 1.109 | 1.822 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.587 | 0.561 | 0.668 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.786 | 0.986 | 0.706 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.080 | 1.255 | 0.926 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.554 | 0.406 | 0.540 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.725 | 0.533 | 0.733 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.948 | 0.811 | 0.964 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.336 | 0.236 | 0.307 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 9, 2022 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan | Aljamain Sterling | |
| March 6, 2021 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Petr Yan | Aljamain Sterling | Aljamain Sterling | |
| June 6, 2020 | Bantamweight | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen | Aljamain Sterling | |
| June 8, 2019 | Bantamweight | Aljamain Sterling | Pedro Munhoz | Aljamain Sterling | |
| Feb. 17, 2019 | Bantamweight | Jimmie Rivera | Aljamain Sterling | Aljamain Sterling | |
| Sept. 8, 2018 | Bantamweight | Aljamain Sterling | Cody Stamann | Aljamain Sterling | |
| April 21, 2018 | Bantamweight | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns | Aljamain Sterling | |
| Dec. 9, 2017 | Bantamweight | Marlon Moraes | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes | |
| July 29, 2017 | Catch Weight | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao | Aljamain Sterling | |
| April 15, 2017 | Bantamweight | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes | Aljamain Sterling | |
| Jan. 28, 2017 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Aljamain Sterling | Raphael Assuncao | |
| May 29, 2016 | Bantamweight | Aljamain Sterling | Bryan Caraway | Bryan Caraway | |
| Dec. 10, 2015 | Bantamweight | Aljamain Sterling | Johnny Eduardo | Aljamain Sterling | |
| April 18, 2015 | Bantamweight | Takeya Mizugaki | Aljamain Sterling | Aljamain Sterling | |
| July 16, 2014 | Bantamweight | Hugo Viana | Aljamain Sterling | Aljamain Sterling | |
| Feb. 22, 2014 | Bantamweight | Cody Gibson | Aljamain Sterling | Aljamain Sterling |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 24, 2021 | Bantamweight | Cory Sandhagen | TJ Dillashaw | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Jan. 19, 2019 | UFC Flyweight Title | Henry Cejudo | TJ Dillashaw | Henry Cejudo | |
| Aug. 4, 2018 | UFC Bantamweight Title | TJ Dillashaw | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Nov. 4, 2017 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Dec. 30, 2016 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw | |
| July 9, 2016 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Jan. 17, 2016 | UFC Bantamweight Title | TJ Dillashaw | Dominick Cruz | Dominick Cruz | |
| July 25, 2015 | UFC Bantamweight Title | TJ Dillashaw | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Aug. 30, 2014 | UFC Bantamweight Title | TJ Dillashaw | Joe Soto | TJ Dillashaw | |
| May 24, 2014 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Jan. 15, 2014 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | Mike Easton | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Oct. 9, 2013 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw | Raphael Assuncao | |
| April 20, 2013 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw | |
| March 16, 2013 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw | |
| July 11, 2012 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | Vaughan Lee | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Feb. 15, 2012 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Dec. 3, 2011 | Ultimate Fighter 14 Bantamweight Tournament Title | TJ Dillashaw | John Dodson | John Dodson |