Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin Holland - UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Khamzat Chimaev by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Catch Weight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Khamzat Chimaev
35
18
-6.1
-580
Kevin Holland
+400

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Khamzat Chimaev Kevin Holland
Main Stats
Age 28 29
Height 74" 75"
Reach 75" 81"
Win Percentage 100.00% 76.67%
Wins 12 23
Losses 0 8
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 69.36% 71.28%
Significant Striking Accuracy 59.78% 55.95%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 13.548 8.061
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.885 3.753
Knockdowns per Fight 1.075 0.366
Striking Impact Differential 47.00% 31.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 20.00% 13.73%
Striking Output Differential 63.40% 23.87%
Significant Striking Output Differential 32.80% 11.87%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 22.49% 49.13%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 38.18% 83.28%
Striking Defense Percentage 41.18% 55.58%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 2.688 0.640
Takedowns per Fight 3.226 0.914
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.839 1.828
Takedown Defense 100.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 66.67% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 6.882 2.291
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 11.900 4.808
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.226 1.316
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.574 0.670
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.860 0.999
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.789 0.652
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.430 0.792
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.430 0.902
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.287 0.530
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.394 0.396
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.466 0.561
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.323 0.360
Khamzat Chimaev History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 9, 2022 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Khamzat Chimaev Khamzat Chimaev
Oct. 30, 2021 Welterweight Li Jingliang Khamzat Chimaev Khamzat Chimaev
Sept. 19, 2020 Middleweight Khamzat Chimaev Gerald Meerschaert Khamzat Chimaev
July 25, 2020 Welterweight Khamzat Chimaev Rhys McKee Khamzat Chimaev
July 15, 2020 Middleweight John Phillips Khamzat Chimaev Khamzat Chimaev
Kevin Holland History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 18, 2022 Welterweight Tim Means Kevin Holland Kevin Holland
March 5, 2022 Welterweight Kevin Holland Alex Oliveira Kevin Holland
Oct. 2, 2021 Middleweight Kevin Holland Kyle Daukaus None
April 10, 2021 Middleweight Marvin Vettori Kevin Holland Marvin Vettori
March 20, 2021 Middleweight Derek Brunson Kevin Holland Derek Brunson
Dec. 12, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Jacare Souza Kevin Holland
Oct. 31, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Charlie Ontiveros Kevin Holland
Sept. 19, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Darren Stewart Kevin Holland
Aug. 8, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Joaquin Buckley Kevin Holland
May 16, 2020 Middleweight Anthony Hernandez Kevin Holland Kevin Holland
Oct. 18, 2019 Middleweight Brendan Allen Kevin Holland Brendan Allen
June 22, 2019 Middleweight Kevin Holland Alessio Di Chirico Kevin Holland
March 30, 2019 Middleweight Kevin Holland Gerald Meerschaert Kevin Holland
Nov. 24, 2018 Middleweight Kevin Holland John Phillips Kevin Holland
Aug. 4, 2018 Middleweight Thiago Santos Kevin Holland Thiago Santos