Johnny Walker vs. Ion Cutelaba - UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Johnny Walker by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Johnny Walker
14
+155
Ion Cutelaba
19
11.1
-213

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Johnny Walker Ion Cutelaba
Main Stats
Age 30 28
Height 78" 73"
Reach 82" 75"
Win Percentage 72.00% 69.57%
Wins 19 16
Losses 6 8
Wins at Weight Class 4 5
Losses at Weight Class 4 7
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 61.33% 45.52%
Significant Striking Accuracy 54.72% 42.36%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.016 5.630
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.868 4.806
Knockdowns per Fight 0.890 0.317
Striking Impact Differential -2.25% 7.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.00% 11.17%
Striking Output Differential -2.13% 33.83%
Significant Striking Output Differential 2.00% 37.92%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 62.56% 60.04%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 82.76% 65.49%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.19% 48.14%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 4.754
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 7.606
Takedown Defense 85.71% 26.09%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 62.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.682 3.644
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.304 9.771
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.642 2.567
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.317 0.835
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.613 1.225
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.475 0.465
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.870 0.328
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.325 0.349
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.435 0.359
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.257 1.183
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.297 1.711
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.336 0.570
Johnny Walker History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 19, 2022 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill
Oct. 2, 2021 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Johnny Walker Thiago Santos
Sept. 19, 2020 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Ryan Spann Johnny Walker
March 14, 2020 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Nikita Krylov Nikita Krylov
Nov. 2, 2019 Light Heavyweight Corey Anderson Johnny Walker Corey Anderson
March 2, 2019 Light Heavyweight Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker Johnny Walker
Feb. 2, 2019 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Justin Ledet Johnny Walker
Nov. 17, 2018 Light Heavyweight Khalil Rountree Jr. Johnny Walker Johnny Walker
Ion Cutelaba History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 14, 2022 Light Heavyweight Ryan Spann Ion Cutelaba Ryan Spann
Sept. 18, 2021 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Devin Clark Ion Cutelaba
May 1, 2021 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Dustin Jacoby None
Oct. 24, 2020 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 29, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Sept. 28, 2019 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Khalil Rountree Jr. Ion Cutelaba
April 27, 2019 Light Heavyweight Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira
July 28, 2018 Light Heavyweight Gadzhimurad Antigulov Ion Cutelaba Ion Cutelaba
June 10, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Henrique da Silva Ion Cutelaba
Dec. 3, 2016 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Jared Cannonier Jared Cannonier
Oct. 1, 2016 Light Heavyweight Jonathan Wilson Ion Cutelaba Ion Cutelaba
June 18, 2016 Light Heavyweight Misha Cirkunov Ion Cutelaba Misha Cirkunov