Hakeem Dawodu vs. Julian Erosa - UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Julian Erosa by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Hakeem Dawodu
26
17
9.8
-227
Julian Erosa
+175

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Hakeem Dawodu Julian Erosa
Main Stats
Age 31 33
Height 68" 73"
Reach 73" 74"
Win Percentage 86.67% 72.97%
Wins 13 28
Losses 3 10
Wins at Weight Class 6 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.77% 51.78%
Significant Striking Accuracy 50.45% 48.27%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.460 7.158
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.391 6.118
Knockdowns per Fight 0.143 0.164
Striking Impact Differential 21.63% -9.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 35.00% -2.50%
Striking Output Differential 38.38% -7.20%
Significant Striking Output Differential 52.38% 0.90%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 66.17% 90.37%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 73.63% 101.07%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.34% 49.17%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.821
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.806
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.286 3.284
Takedown Defense 51.85% 62.50%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 55.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.424 3.929
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.679 9.675
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.908 4.892
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.603 1.609
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.376 2.331
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.525 0.755
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.365 0.580
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.632 0.668
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.286 0.744
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.782 0.963
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.012 1.401
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.315 0.679
Hakeem Dawodu History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 5, 2022 Featherweight Hakeem Dawodu Michael Trizano Hakeem Dawodu
June 12, 2021 Featherweight Movsar Evloev Hakeem Dawodu Movsar Evloev
Sept. 26, 2020 Featherweight Hakeem Dawodu Zubaira Tukhugov Hakeem Dawodu
Nov. 2, 2019 Featherweight Julio Arce Hakeem Dawodu Hakeem Dawodu
July 27, 2019 Featherweight Hakeem Dawodu Yoshinori Horie Hakeem Dawodu
Dec. 8, 2018 Featherweight Hakeem Dawodu Kyle Bochniak Hakeem Dawodu
July 28, 2018 Featherweight Hakeem Dawodu Austin Arnett Hakeem Dawodu
March 17, 2018 Featherweight Danny Henry Hakeem Dawodu Danny Henry
Julian Erosa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 5, 2022 Featherweight Julian Erosa Steven Peterson Julian Erosa
Sept. 4, 2021 Catch Weight Julian Erosa Charles Jourdain Julian Erosa
June 19, 2021 Featherweight Julian Erosa SeungWoo Choi SeungWoo Choi
Feb. 20, 2021 Featherweight Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa Julian Erosa
June 27, 2020 Catch Weight Sean Woodson Julian Erosa Julian Erosa
May 18, 2019 Featherweight Julio Arce Julian Erosa Julio Arce
March 9, 2019 Featherweight Grant Dawson Julian Erosa Grant Dawson
Nov. 10, 2018 Lightweight Devonte Smith Julian Erosa Devonte Smith
March 5, 2016 Featherweight Julian Erosa Teruto Ishihara Teruto Ishihara
Dec. 11, 2015 Lightweight Julian Erosa Marcin Wrzosek Julian Erosa