Leonardo Santos vs. Jared Gordon - UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jared Gordon by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Leonardo Santos
+210
Jared Gordon
24
14
4.5
-295

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Leonardo Santos Jared Gordon
Main Stats
Age 42 33
Height 72" 69"
Reach 75" 68"
Win Percentage 75.00% 81.82%
Wins 18 19
Losses 7 4
Wins at Weight Class 6 3
Losses at Weight Class 3 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.88% 69.93%
Significant Striking Accuracy 47.17% 57.57%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.681 10.346
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.878 5.243
Knockdowns per Fight 0.432 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -0.20% 69.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 1.10% 23.40%
Striking Output Differential -10.10% 68.40%
Significant Striking Output Differential -7.30% 16.90%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.11% 43.93%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 140.00% 84.53%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.24% 58.06%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.288 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.007 2.225
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.453 5.627
Takedown Defense 15.00% 83.33%
Takedown Accuracy 29.17% 39.53%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.784 3.961
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.556 7.450
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.333 2.068
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.633 0.750
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.007 1.056
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.787 0.733
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.460 0.532
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.537 0.602
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.652 0.401
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.326 0.637
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.470 0.794
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.441 0.410
Leonardo Santos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 4, 2021 Lightweight Clay Guida Leonardo Santos Clay Guida
March 20, 2021 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Grant Dawson Grant Dawson
July 11, 2020 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Roman Bogatov Leonardo Santos
June 1, 2019 Lightweight Stevie Ray Leonardo Santos Leonardo Santos
Oct. 8, 2016 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Adriano Martins Leonardo Santos
Dec. 12, 2015 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Kevin Lee Leonardo Santos
March 21, 2015 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Anthony Rocco Martin Leonardo Santos
Sept. 13, 2014 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Efrain Escudero Leonardo Santos
March 23, 2014 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Norman Parke None
June 8, 2013 Ultimate Fighter Brazil 2 Welterweight Tournament Title William Macario Leonardo Santos Leonardo Santos
Jared Gordon History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 30, 2022 Lightweight Jared Gordon Grant Dawson Grant Dawson
Oct. 2, 2021 Lightweight Joe Solecki Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
Feb. 20, 2021 Featherweight Jared Gordon Danny Chavez Jared Gordon
July 15, 2020 Featherweight Jared Gordon Chris Fishgold Jared Gordon
Nov. 16, 2019 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Jared Gordon Charles Oliveira
June 29, 2019 Lightweight Jared Gordon Dan Moret Jared Gordon
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Jared Gordon Joaquim Silva Joaquim Silva
Feb. 18, 2018 Lightweight Jared Gordon Diego Ferreira Diego Ferreira
Oct. 28, 2017 Lightweight Hacran Dias Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
June 25, 2017 Featherweight Jared Gordon Michel Quinones Jared Gordon