The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Jose Aldo | Merab Dvalishvili | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 31 | 32 | |
| Height | 67" | 66" | 67" | |
| Reach | 70" | 68" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 81.58% | 77.78% | 79.17% | |
| Wins | 31 | 15 | ||
| Losses | 8 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 3 | 6 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 47.77% | 60.21% | 50.09% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.76% | 41.18% | 44.13% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.988 | 10.370 | 5.379 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.503 | 4.258 | 4.042 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.282 | 0.116 | 0.491 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -24.05% | 104.33% | 3.47% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -11.74% | 28.44% | 1.27% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -53.00% | 151.11% | 5.46% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -38.63% | 66.67% | 3.27% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 152.47% | 34.72% | 106.50% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 169.02% | 80.40% | 134.26% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 58.50% | 60.03% | 55.77% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.188 | 0.348 | 0.439 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.563 | 7.302 | 1.657 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.079 | 16.111 | 4.191 | |
| Takedown Defense | 12.86% | 27.27% | 75.86% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 52.17% | 45.32% | 31.89% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.415 | 2.898 | 2.562 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.312 | 8.546 | 7.109 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.596 | 1.244 | 2.504 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.669 | 0.634 | 0.800 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.017 | 0.966 | 1.239 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.763 | 0.680 | 0.791 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.419 | 0.726 | 0.680 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.497 | 0.827 | 0.839 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.841 | 0.355 | 0.622 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.144 | 0.572 | 0.405 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.178 | 0.804 | 0.570 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.391 | 0.510 | 0.395 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 4, 2021 | Bantamweight | Rob Font | Jose Aldo | Jose Aldo | |
| Aug. 7, 2021 | Bantamweight | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz | Jose Aldo | |
| Dec. 19, 2020 | Bantamweight | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera | Jose Aldo | |
| July 11, 2020 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Petr Yan | Jose Aldo | Petr Yan | |
| Dec. 14, 2019 | Bantamweight | Marlon Moraes | Jose Aldo | Marlon Moraes | |
| May 11, 2019 | Featherweight | Jose Aldo | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Feb. 2, 2019 | Featherweight | Jose Aldo | Renato Moicano | Jose Aldo | |
| July 28, 2018 | Featherweight | Jose Aldo | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo | |
| Dec. 2, 2017 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Jose Aldo | Max Holloway | |
| June 3, 2017 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Max Holloway | Max Holloway | |
| July 9, 2016 | UFC Interim Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Frankie Edgar | Jose Aldo | |
| Dec. 12, 2015 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Conor McGregor | Conor McGregor | |
| Oct. 25, 2014 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo | |
| Feb. 1, 2014 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Ricardo Lamas | Jose Aldo | |
| Aug. 3, 2013 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Chan Sung Jung | Jose Aldo | |
| Feb. 2, 2013 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Frankie Edgar | Jose Aldo | |
| Jan. 14, 2012 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo | |
| Oct. 8, 2011 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Kenny Florian | Jose Aldo | |
| April 30, 2011 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Mark Hominick | Jose Aldo |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 25, 2021 | Bantamweight | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili | Merab Dvalishvili | |
| May 1, 2021 | Bantamweight | Merab Dvalishvili | Cody Stamann | Merab Dvalishvili | |
| Aug. 15, 2020 | Bantamweight | John Dodson | Merab Dvalishvili | Merab Dvalishvili | |
| June 13, 2020 | Catch Weight | Merab Dvalishvili | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili | |
| Feb. 15, 2020 | Bantamweight | Casey Kenney | Merab Dvalishvili | Merab Dvalishvili | |
| May 4, 2019 | Bantamweight | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili | Merab Dvalishvili | |
| Sept. 15, 2018 | Bantamweight | Merab Dvalishvili | Terrion Ware | Merab Dvalishvili | |
| April 21, 2018 | Bantamweight | Merab Dvalishvili | Ricky Simon | Ricky Simon | |
| Dec. 9, 2017 | Bantamweight | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili | Frankie Saenz |