Daniel Lacerda vs. Victor Altamirano - UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Victor Altamirano by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Daniel Lacerda
+130
Victor Altamirano
17
14
12.9
-180

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Daniel Lacerda Victor Altamirano
Main Stats
Age 26 31
Height 66" 68"
Reach 70" 70"
Win Percentage 78.57% 83.33%
Wins 11 11
Losses 3 2
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 81.82% 60.53%
Significant Striking Accuracy 77.42% 57.25%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.094 6.133
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.396 5.267
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -37.50% 2.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -14.00% -5.00%
Striking Output Differential -46.00% -26.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -18.00% -34.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 69.44% 95.65%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 62.50% 111.39%
Striking Defense Percentage 22.39% 51.16%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 2.123 1.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.368 4.000
Takedown Defense 100.00% 28.57%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 25.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.132 2.133
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.981 5.800
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 5.519 3.733
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.132 2.800
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.274 3.067
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.991 1.200
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.132 0.333
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.132 0.333
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.849 0.667
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 0.667
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.142 0.800
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.000 1.400
Daniel Lacerda History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 30, 2022 Flyweight Daniel Lacerda Francisco Figueiredo Francisco Figueiredo
Oct. 23, 2021 Flyweight Jeff Molina Daniel Lacerda Jeff Molina
Victor Altamirano History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 26, 2022 Flyweight Victor Altamirano Carlos Hernandez Carlos Hernandez