Amir Albazi vs. Francisco Figueiredo - UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Amir Albazi by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Amir Albazi
25
17
-5.7
-560
Francisco Figueiredo
+350

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Amir Albazi Francisco Figueiredo
Main Stats
Age 28 32
Height 65" 66"
Reach 68" 68"
Win Percentage 93.33% 76.47%
Wins 15 13
Losses 1 5
Wins at Weight Class 1 2
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 49.59% 68.57%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.61% 60.19%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.193 3.067
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.061 1.981
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 21.50% -31.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 9.00% -6.33%
Striking Output Differential 39.00% -70.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 24.50% -40.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 72.95% 167.71%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 107.50% 230.65%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.11% 63.84%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.761 0.479
Takedowns per Fight 2.284 2.875
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.046 3.834
Takedown Defense 50.00% 21.43%
Takedown Accuracy 75.00% 75.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.437 0.863
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.716 1.853
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.168 1.693
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.863 0.479
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.320 0.703
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.624 0.351
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.761 0.639
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.965 0.735
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.355 0.543
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.102 0.256
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.152 0.288
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.051 0.447
Amir Albazi History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 23, 2021 Flyweight Amir Albazi Zhalgas Zhumagulov Amir Albazi
July 18, 2020 Bantamweight Malcolm Gordon Amir Albazi Amir Albazi
Francisco Figueiredo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 30, 2022 Flyweight Daniel Lacerda Francisco Figueiredo Francisco Figueiredo
July 17, 2021 Flyweight Francisco Figueiredo Malcolm Gordon Malcolm Gordon
Jan. 20, 2021 Flyweight Francisco Figueiredo Jerome Rivera Francisco Figueiredo