The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 37 | 30 | 34 | |
| Height | 75" | 75" | 75" | |
| Reach | 79" | 84" | 77" | |
| Win Percentage | 74.29% | 93.75% | 77.07% | |
| Wins | 26 | 16 | ||
| Losses | 10 | 1 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 17 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 52.63% | 52.35% | 55.14% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 50.62% | 50.00% | 49.81% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.807 | 6.676 | 5.820 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.562 | 6.077 | 4.476 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.534 | 3.852 | 0.898 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -16.38% | 5.50% | 1.54% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 0.46% | 4.75% | 3.35% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -11.46% | 11.75% | 4.79% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 7.25% | 11.25% | 6.74% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 71.32% | 58.97% | 82.40% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 69.27% | 63.38% | 112.15% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 41.39% | 46.39% | 50.47% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.405 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.601 | 0.000 | 1.212 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 2.135 | 2.568 | 2.291 | |
| Takedown Defense | 81.40% | 50.00% | 93.69% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 28.13% | 0.00% | 29.53% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.006 | 5.735 | 2.945 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.279 | 11.384 | 7.021 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.428 | 1.883 | 2.673 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.432 | 0.257 | 0.777 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.609 | 0.685 | 1.023 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.574 | 1.113 | 0.702 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.125 | 0.086 | 0.755 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.174 | 0.086 | 0.870 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.512 | 1.455 | 0.648 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.480 | 1.455 | 0.596 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.707 | 2.568 | 0.819 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.467 | 0.685 | 0.449 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 12, 2022 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa | Tai Tuivasa | |
| Dec. 18, 2021 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Chris Daukaus | Derrick Lewis | |
| Aug. 7, 2021 | UFC Interim Heavyweight Title | Derrick Lewis | Ciryl Gane | Ciryl Gane | |
| Feb. 20, 2021 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Derrick Lewis | Derrick Lewis | |
| Aug. 8, 2020 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Aleksei Oleinik | Derrick Lewis | |
| Feb. 8, 2020 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Ilir Latifi | Derrick Lewis | |
| Nov. 2, 2019 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Blagoy Ivanov | Derrick Lewis | |
| March 9, 2019 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Junior Dos Santos | Junior Dos Santos | |
| Nov. 3, 2018 | UFC Heavyweight Title | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis | Daniel Cormier | |
| Oct. 6, 2018 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Alexander Volkov | Derrick Lewis | |
| July 7, 2018 | Heavyweight | Francis Ngannou | Derrick Lewis | Derrick Lewis | |
| Feb. 18, 2018 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Marcin Tybura | Derrick Lewis | |
| June 10, 2017 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt | Mark Hunt | |
| Feb. 19, 2017 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Travis Browne | Derrick Lewis | |
| Dec. 9, 2016 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov | Derrick Lewis | |
| July 7, 2016 | Heavyweight | Roy Nelson | Derrick Lewis | Derrick Lewis | |
| April 10, 2016 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga | Derrick Lewis | |
| Feb. 6, 2016 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis | |
| Oct. 3, 2015 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Viktor Pesta | Derrick Lewis | |
| June 6, 2015 | Heavyweight | Shawn Jordan | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan | |
| Feb. 28, 2015 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts | Derrick Lewis | |
| Sept. 5, 2014 | Heavyweight | Matt Mitrione | Derrick Lewis | Matt Mitrione | |
| July 6, 2014 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente | Derrick Lewis | |
| April 19, 2014 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Jack May | Derrick Lewis |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2022 | Heavyweight | Shamil Abdurakhimov | Sergei Pavlovich | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| Oct. 26, 2019 | Heavyweight | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| April 20, 2019 | Heavyweight | Sergei Pavlovich | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| Nov. 24, 2018 | Heavyweight | Alistair Overeem | Sergei Pavlovich | Alistair Overeem |