The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Robbie Lawler | Bryan Barberena | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 40 | 33 | 32 | |
| Height | 71" | 72" | 72" | |
| Reach | 74" | 72" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 65.91% | 68.00% | 78.41% | |
| Wins | 29 | 18 | ||
| Losses | 16 | 8 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 10 | 7 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 6 | 5 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 52.29% | 60.57% | 51.65% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 47.72% | 49.05% | 46.01% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.896 | 9.336 | 5.819 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.042 | 5.610 | 4.408 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.438 | 0.514 | 0.839 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -13.52% | 46.36% | 4.41% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -11.13% | 9.79% | 2.03% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -47.48% | 71.71% | 5.70% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -44.57% | 33.14% | 3.07% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 143.04% | 43.40% | 95.44% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 171.33% | 70.60% | 116.46% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 58.70% | 45.06% | 54.14% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.342 | 0.552 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.828 | 0.171 | 1.269 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.120 | 0.685 | 3.778 | |
| Takedown Defense | 54.29% | 78.85% | 68.98% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 73.91% | 25.00% | 39.49% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.049 | 3.915 | 2.927 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.263 | 9.171 | 7.426 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.029 | 3.047 | 2.701 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.812 | 0.765 | 0.821 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.997 | 1.061 | 1.184 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.016 | 1.244 | 0.786 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.182 | 0.930 | 0.660 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.211 | 1.204 | 0.783 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.828 | 0.536 | 0.663 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.912 | 1.084 | 0.474 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.283 | 1.581 | 0.658 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.919 | 0.828 | 0.400 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 25, 2021 | Middleweight | Nick Diaz | Robbie Lawler | Robbie Lawler | |
| Aug. 29, 2020 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Neil Magny | Neil Magny | |
| Aug. 3, 2019 | Welterweight | Colby Covington | Robbie Lawler | Colby Covington | |
| March 2, 2019 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Ben Askren | Ben Askren | |
| Dec. 16, 2017 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| July 29, 2017 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Donald Cerrone | Robbie Lawler | |
| July 30, 2016 | UFC Welterweight Title | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley | Tyron Woodley | |
| Jan. 2, 2016 | UFC Welterweight Title | Robbie Lawler | Carlos Condit | Robbie Lawler | |
| July 11, 2015 | UFC Welterweight Title | Robbie Lawler | Rory MacDonald | Robbie Lawler | |
| Dec. 6, 2014 | UFC Welterweight Title | Johny Hendricks | Robbie Lawler | Robbie Lawler | |
| July 26, 2014 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Matt Brown | Robbie Lawler | |
| May 24, 2014 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Jake Ellenberger | Robbie Lawler | |
| March 15, 2014 | UFC Welterweight Title | Johny Hendricks | Robbie Lawler | Johny Hendricks | |
| Nov. 16, 2013 | Welterweight | Rory MacDonald | Robbie Lawler | Robbie Lawler | |
| July 27, 2013 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler | |
| Feb. 23, 2013 | Welterweight | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler | Robbie Lawler | |
| Oct. 22, 2004 | Middleweight | Evan Tanner | Robbie Lawler | Evan Tanner | |
| April 2, 2004 | Welterweight | Nick Diaz | Robbie Lawler | Nick Diaz | |
| Nov. 21, 2003 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Chris Lytle | Robbie Lawler | |
| April 25, 2003 | Welterweight | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler | Pete Spratt | |
| Nov. 22, 2002 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn | Robbie Lawler | |
| June 22, 2002 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger | Robbie Lawler | |
| May 10, 2002 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Aaron Riley | Robbie Lawler |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 26, 2022 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| Dec. 4, 2021 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Darian Weeks | Bryan Barberena | |
| July 31, 2021 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Jason Witt | Jason Witt | |
| Sept. 12, 2020 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena | |
| June 22, 2019 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown | Randy Brown | |
| Feb. 17, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Bryan Barberena | Vicente Luque | |
| Aug. 25, 2018 | Welterweight | Jake Ellenberger | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| Sept. 2, 2017 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards | |
| April 22, 2017 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Joe Proctor | Bryan Barberena | |
| Dec. 17, 2016 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Colby Covington | Colby Covington | |
| May 14, 2016 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| Jan. 30, 2016 | Welterweight | Sage Northcutt | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| April 25, 2015 | Lightweight | Chad Laprise | Bryan Barberena | Chad Laprise | |
| Dec. 13, 2014 | Lightweight | Joe Ellenberger | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena |