Jim Miller vs. Donald Cerrone - UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jim Miller by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jim Miller
16
14
10.7
-190
Donald Cerrone
+145

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jim Miller Donald Cerrone
Main Stats
Age 38 39
Height 68" 73"
Reach 71" 73"
Win Percentage 68.00% 69.23%
Wins 35 36
Losses 16 17
Wins at Weight Class 0 6
Losses at Weight Class 0 8
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 49.63% 49.31%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.51% 47.21%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.030 5.444
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.777 4.931
Knockdowns per Fight 0.197 0.857
Striking Impact Differential -9.62% -2.41%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -1.41% -2.00%
Striking Output Differential -13.26% -2.32%
Significant Striking Output Differential -4.51% -2.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 110.74% 102.62%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 152.31% 111.81%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.15% 51.74%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.770 0.471
Takedowns per Fight 1.613 1.028
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.736 3.554
Takedown Defense 110.00% 11.29%
Takedown Accuracy 43.16% 28.92%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.636 2.515
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.212 7.452
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.014 3.006
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.572 1.245
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.797 1.659
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.624 1.251
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.569 1.171
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.679 1.333
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.283 0.885
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.477 0.431
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.753 0.654
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.425 0.602
Jim Miller History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 19, 2022 Lightweight Jim Miller Nikolas Motta Jim Miller
Oct. 16, 2021 Lightweight Jim Miller Erick Gonzalez Jim Miller
April 10, 2021 Lightweight Jim Miller Joe Solecki Joe Solecki
Aug. 15, 2020 Lightweight Jim Miller Vinc Pichel Vinc Pichel
June 20, 2020 Catch Weight Jim Miller Roosevelt Roberts Jim Miller
Feb. 15, 2020 Lightweight Jim Miller Scott Holtzman Scott Holtzman
Aug. 3, 2019 Lightweight Jim Miller Clay Guida Jim Miller
April 27, 2019 Lightweight Jim Miller Jason Gonzalez Jim Miller
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Sept. 8, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Alex White Jim Miller
April 21, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
Oct. 28, 2017 Lightweight Francisco Trinaldo Jim Miller Francisco Trinaldo
July 8, 2017 Lightweight Anthony Pettis Jim Miller Anthony Pettis
Feb. 11, 2017 Lightweight Dustin Poirier Jim Miller Dustin Poirier
Nov. 12, 2016 Catch Weight Jim Miller Thiago Alves Jim Miller
Aug. 27, 2016 Lightweight Joe Lauzon Jim Miller Jim Miller
July 9, 2016 Lightweight Jim Miller Takanori Gomi Jim Miller
March 5, 2016 Lightweight Diego Sanchez Jim Miller Diego Sanchez
Dec. 10, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Michael Chiesa Michael Chiesa
July 25, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Danny Castillo Jim Miller
April 18, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
July 16, 2014 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Jim Miller Donald Cerrone
April 26, 2014 Lightweight Jim Miller Yancy Medeiros Jim Miller
Dec. 28, 2013 Lightweight Jim Miller Fabricio Camoes Jim Miller
April 27, 2013 Lightweight Jim Miller Pat Healy None
Dec. 29, 2012 Lightweight Jim Miller Joe Lauzon Jim Miller
May 5, 2012 Lightweight Nate Diaz Jim Miller Nate Diaz
Jan. 20, 2012 Lightweight Melvin Guillard Jim Miller Jim Miller
Aug. 14, 2011 Lightweight Jim Miller Benson Henderson Benson Henderson
March 19, 2011 Lightweight Jim Miller Kamal Shalorus Jim Miller
Dec. 11, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Charles Oliveira Jim Miller
Sept. 15, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Gleison Tibau Jim Miller
March 27, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Mark Bocek Jim Miller
Jan. 2, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Duane Ludwig Jim Miller
Sept. 19, 2009 Lightweight Jim Miller Steve Lopez Jim Miller
July 11, 2009 Lightweight Jim Miller Mac Danzig Jim Miller
March 7, 2009 Lightweight Gray Maynard Jim Miller Gray Maynard
Dec. 10, 2008 Lightweight Jim Miller Matt Wiman Jim Miller
Oct. 18, 2008 Lightweight Jim Miller David Baron Jim Miller
Donald Cerrone History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 8, 2021 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Alex Morono Alex Morono
Sept. 19, 2020 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Niko Price None
May 9, 2020 Welterweight Anthony Pettis Donald Cerrone Anthony Pettis
Jan. 18, 2020 Welterweight Conor McGregor Donald Cerrone Conor McGregor
Sept. 14, 2019 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Justin Gaethje Justin Gaethje
June 8, 2019 Lightweight Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson
May 4, 2019 Lightweight Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone Donald Cerrone
Jan. 19, 2019 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone Donald Cerrone
Nov. 10, 2018 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Mike Perry Donald Cerrone
June 23, 2018 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Leon Edwards Leon Edwards
Feb. 18, 2018 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Yancy Medeiros Donald Cerrone
Oct. 21, 2017 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Darren Till Darren Till
July 29, 2017 Welterweight Robbie Lawler Donald Cerrone Robbie Lawler
Jan. 28, 2017 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal
Dec. 10, 2016 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Matt Brown Donald Cerrone
Aug. 20, 2016 Welterweight Rick Story Donald Cerrone Donald Cerrone
June 18, 2016 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Patrick Cote Donald Cerrone
Feb. 21, 2016 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Alex Oliveira Donald Cerrone
Dec. 19, 2015 UFC Lightweight Title Rafael Dos Anjos Donald Cerrone Rafael Dos Anjos
May 23, 2015 Lightweight Donald Cerrone John Makdessi Donald Cerrone
Jan. 18, 2015 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Benson Henderson Donald Cerrone
Jan. 3, 2015 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Myles Jury Donald Cerrone
Sept. 27, 2014 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Eddie Alvarez Donald Cerrone
July 16, 2014 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Jim Miller Donald Cerrone
April 19, 2014 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Edson Barboza Donald Cerrone
Jan. 25, 2014 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Adriano Martins Donald Cerrone
Nov. 16, 2013 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Evan Dunham Donald Cerrone
Aug. 28, 2013 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Rafael Dos Anjos Rafael Dos Anjos
May 25, 2013 Lightweight Donald Cerrone KJ Noons Donald Cerrone
Jan. 26, 2013 Lightweight Anthony Pettis Donald Cerrone Anthony Pettis
Aug. 11, 2012 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Melvin Guillard Donald Cerrone
May 15, 2012 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Jeremy Stephens Donald Cerrone
Dec. 30, 2011 Lightweight Nate Diaz Donald Cerrone Nate Diaz
Oct. 29, 2011 Lightweight Dennis Siver Donald Cerrone Donald Cerrone
Aug. 14, 2011 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Charles Oliveira Donald Cerrone
June 11, 2011 Lightweight Vagner Rocha Donald Cerrone Donald Cerrone
Feb. 5, 2011 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Paul Kelly Donald Cerrone