Brad Tavares vs. Dricus Du Plessis - UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Dricus Du Plessis by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brad Tavares
+130
Dricus Du Plessis
19
13
13.7
-190

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Brad Tavares Dricus Du Plessis
Main Stats
Age 34 28
Height 73" 73"
Reach 74" 76"
Win Percentage 73.08% 88.89%
Wins 19 17
Losses 8 2
Wins at Weight Class 14 2
Losses at Weight Class 6 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 47.54% 48.60%
Significant Striking Accuracy 42.17% 48.11%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.048 5.174
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.182 5.075
Knockdowns per Fight 0.228 2.985
Striking Impact Differential 0.60% 14.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 5.60% 13.50%
Striking Output Differential 7.95% 16.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 13.15% 15.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.53% 98.08%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 119.12% 100.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.90% 68.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.912 2.985
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.364 5.970
Takedown Defense 25.97% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 27.12% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.874 1.393
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.766 5.075
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.574 1.393
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.521 1.095
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.821 1.493
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.452 0.597
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.787 2.587
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.958 3.980
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.730 0.398
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.449 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.699 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.547 0.199
Brad Tavares History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 10, 2021 Middleweight Omari Akhmedov Brad Tavares Brad Tavares
Jan. 23, 2021 Middleweight Brad Tavares Antonio Carlos Junior Brad Tavares
Nov. 2, 2019 Middleweight Brad Tavares Edmen Shahbazyan Edmen Shahbazyan
July 6, 2018 Middleweight Brad Tavares Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya
April 14, 2018 Middleweight Krzysztof Jotko Brad Tavares Brad Tavares
Oct. 7, 2017 Middleweight Thales Leites Brad Tavares Brad Tavares
July 7, 2017 Middleweight Brad Tavares Elias Theodorou Brad Tavares
Sept. 10, 2016 Middleweight Brad Tavares Caio Magalhaes Brad Tavares
May 9, 2015 Middleweight Brad Tavares Robert Whittaker Robert Whittaker
Jan. 3, 2015 Middleweight Brad Tavares Nate Marquardt Brad Tavares
Aug. 16, 2014 Middleweight Tim Boetsch Brad Tavares Tim Boetsch
April 19, 2014 Middleweight Brad Tavares Yoel Romero Yoel Romero
Jan. 15, 2014 Middleweight Lorenz Larkin Brad Tavares Brad Tavares
Aug. 28, 2013 Middleweight Brad Tavares Robert McDaniel Brad Tavares
March 2, 2013 Middleweight Riki Fukuda Brad Tavares Brad Tavares
Sept. 29, 2012 Middleweight Tom Watson Brad Tavares Brad Tavares
May 15, 2012 Middleweight Brad Tavares Dongi Yang Brad Tavares
July 2, 2011 Middleweight Brad Tavares Aaron Simpson Aaron Simpson
Jan. 1, 2011 Middleweight Phil Baroni Brad Tavares Brad Tavares
June 19, 2010 Middleweight Brad Tavares Seth Baczynski Brad Tavares
Dricus Du Plessis History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 10, 2021 Middleweight Trevin Giles Dricus Du Plessis Dricus Du Plessis
Oct. 10, 2020 Middleweight Markus Perez Dricus Du Plessis Dricus Du Plessis