The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Alexander Volkanovski | Max Holloway | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 33 | 30 | 32 | |
| Height | 66" | 71" | 68" | |
| Reach | 71" | 69" | 70" | |
| Win Percentage | 96.00% | 79.31% | 88.83% | |
| Wins | 25 | 23 | ||
| Losses | 1 | 7 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 4 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 59.38% | 48.82% | 52.61% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 57.67% | 47.29% | 50.09% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.315 | 7.922 | 6.676 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.626 | 7.382 | 5.930 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.424 | 0.311 | 0.452 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 58.91% | 45.96% | 33.98% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 53.27% | 41.48% | 29.56% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 56.09% | 63.60% | 38.20% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 48.82% | 58.76% | 32.97% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 70.81% | 90.41% | 89.35% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 77.58% | 96.31% | 99.37% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 60.79% | 60.23% | 58.82% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.254 | 0.350 | 0.488 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.949 | 0.311 | 1.284 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.338 | 0.467 | 3.652 | |
| Takedown Defense | 42.11% | 19.05% | 38.14% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 36.51% | 66.67% | 44.86% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 4.033 | 5.122 | 3.893 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.083 | 12.600 | 9.184 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.141 | 2.877 | 2.628 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.684 | 1.656 | 0.871 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.994 | 2.222 | 1.229 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.712 | 0.656 | 0.731 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.909 | 0.604 | 1.167 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 2.412 | 0.791 | 1.476 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.463 | 1.161 | 0.664 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.599 | 0.583 | 0.552 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.808 | 0.780 | 0.736 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.266 | 0.251 | 0.249 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 9, 2022 | UFC Featherweight Title | Alexander Volkanovski | Chan Sung Jung | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Sept. 25, 2021 | UFC Featherweight Title | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| July 11, 2020 | UFC Featherweight Title | Alexander Volkanovski | Max Holloway | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Dec. 14, 2019 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| May 11, 2019 | Featherweight | Jose Aldo | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Dec. 29, 2018 | Featherweight | Chad Mendes | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| July 14, 2018 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Feb. 10, 2018 | Featherweight | Alexander Volkanovski | Jeremy Kennedy | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Nov. 18, 2017 | Catch Weight | Alexander Volkanovski | Shane Young | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| June 10, 2017 | Featherweight | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Nov. 26, 2016 | Lightweight | Yusuke Kasuya | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 13, 2021 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez | Max Holloway | |
| Jan. 16, 2021 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Calvin Kattar | Max Holloway | |
| July 11, 2020 | UFC Featherweight Title | Alexander Volkanovski | Max Holloway | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Dec. 14, 2019 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| July 27, 2019 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Frankie Edgar | Max Holloway | |
| April 13, 2019 | UFC Interim Lightweight Title | Max Holloway | Dustin Poirier | Dustin Poirier | |
| Dec. 8, 2018 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway | |
| Dec. 2, 2017 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Jose Aldo | Max Holloway | |
| June 3, 2017 | UFC Featherweight Title | Jose Aldo | Max Holloway | Max Holloway | |
| Dec. 10, 2016 | UFC Interim Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway | |
| June 4, 2016 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Ricardo Lamas | Max Holloway | |
| Dec. 12, 2015 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Jeremy Stephens | Max Holloway | |
| Aug. 23, 2015 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway | |
| April 18, 2015 | Featherweight | Cub Swanson | Max Holloway | Max Holloway | |
| Feb. 14, 2015 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Cole Miller | Max Holloway | |
| Oct. 4, 2014 | Featherweight | Akira Corassani | Max Holloway | Max Holloway | |
| Aug. 23, 2014 | Catch Weight | Max Holloway | Clay Collard | Max Holloway | |
| April 26, 2014 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Andre Fili | Max Holloway | |
| Jan. 4, 2014 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Will Chope | Max Holloway | |
| Aug. 17, 2013 | Featherweight | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway | Conor McGregor | |
| May 25, 2013 | Featherweight | Dennis Bermudez | Max Holloway | Dennis Bermudez | |
| Dec. 29, 2012 | Featherweight | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway | Max Holloway | |
| Aug. 11, 2012 | Featherweight | Justin Lawrence | Max Holloway | Max Holloway | |
| June 1, 2012 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Pat Schilling | Max Holloway | |
| Feb. 4, 2012 | Featherweight | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway | Dustin Poirier |