Andre Fialho vs. Jake Matthews - UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jake Matthews by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Kallang, Singapore
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Andre Fialho
18
23.6
-125
Jake Matthews
10
-120

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Andre Fialho Jake Matthews
Main Stats
Age 28 27
Height 72" 71"
Reach 74" 73"
Win Percentage 80.00% 77.27%
Wins 16 18
Losses 5 5
Wins at Weight Class 2 6
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 44.50% 54.50%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.72% 44.90%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.363 4.633
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.228 3.028
Knockdowns per Fight 1.349 0.350
Striking Impact Differential -19.33% 3.80%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -18.67% 9.87%
Striking Output Differential -26.67% 3.07%
Significant Striking Output Differential -25.33% 12.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 147.42% 84.89%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 150.00% 115.61%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.45% 61.79%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.613
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.926
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 4.639
Takedown Defense 33.33% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 41.51%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.193 2.328
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.456 5.707
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.283 1.383
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.540 0.379
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.720 0.654
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.339 0.368
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.495 0.321
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.495 0.385
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.124 0.414
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.540 0.239
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.540 0.356
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.495 0.391
Andre Fialho History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 7, 2022 Welterweight Andre Fialho Cameron VanCamp Andre Fialho
April 16, 2022 Welterweight Miguel Baeza Andre Fialho Andre Fialho
Jan. 22, 2022 Welterweight Michel Pereira Andre Fialho Michel Pereira
Jake Matthews History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 6, 2021 Welterweight Sean Brady Jake Matthews Sean Brady
Sept. 26, 2020 Welterweight Diego Sanchez Jake Matthews Jake Matthews
Feb. 22, 2020 Welterweight Jake Matthews Emil Meek Jake Matthews
Oct. 5, 2019 Welterweight Jake Matthews Rostem Akman Jake Matthews
Dec. 1, 2018 Welterweight Jake Matthews Anthony Rocco Martin Anthony Rocco Martin
June 23, 2018 Welterweight Shinsho Anzai Jake Matthews Jake Matthews
Feb. 10, 2018 Welterweight Jake Matthews Li Jingliang Jake Matthews
Nov. 18, 2017 Welterweight Jake Matthews Bojan Velickovic Jake Matthews
Nov. 26, 2016 Lightweight Jake Matthews Andrew Holbrook Andrew Holbrook
July 8, 2016 Lightweight Jake Matthews Kevin Lee Kevin Lee
March 19, 2016 Lightweight Jake Matthews Johnny Case Jake Matthews
Nov. 14, 2015 Lightweight Jake Matthews Akbarh Arreola Jake Matthews
May 9, 2015 Lightweight Jake Matthews James Vick James Vick
Nov. 7, 2014 Lightweight Jake Matthews Vagner Rocha Jake Matthews
June 28, 2014 Lightweight Jake Matthews Dashon Johnson Jake Matthews