Randy Brown vs. Khaos Williams - UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Randy Brown by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Phoenix, Arizona, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Randy Brown
23
17
25.7
-115
Khaos Williams
-135

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Randy Brown Khaos Williams
Main Stats
Age 31 28
Height 75" 72"
Reach 78" 77"
Win Percentage 77.78% 86.67%
Wins 15 13
Losses 4 3
Wins at Weight Class 8 4
Losses at Weight Class 4 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 51.89% 42.40%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.00% 38.53%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.040 5.979
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.207 5.002
Knockdowns per Fight 0.368 1.072
Striking Impact Differential -5.50% 18.40%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 11.17% 13.60%
Striking Output Differential 2.25% 57.80%
Significant Striking Output Differential 22.42% 52.60%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 77.63% 57.37%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 82.14% 66.67%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.61% 49.65%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.613 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.858 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.961 0.715
Takedown Defense 40.74% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 43.75% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.753 2.334
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.862 9.099
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.209 1.906
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.882 0.881
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.152 1.453
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.482 0.715
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.572 1.786
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.752 2.430
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.421 0.762
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.809 0.405
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.988 0.643
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.359 0.262
Randy Brown History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 9, 2021 Welterweight Randy Brown Jared Gooden Randy Brown
April 24, 2021 Welterweight Alex Oliveira Randy Brown Randy Brown
Aug. 1, 2020 Welterweight Vicente Luque Randy Brown Vicente Luque
Nov. 16, 2019 Welterweight Warlley Alves Randy Brown Randy Brown
June 22, 2019 Welterweight Bryan Barberena Randy Brown Randy Brown
July 14, 2018 Welterweight Randy Brown Niko Price Niko Price
Nov. 4, 2017 Welterweight Randy Brown Mickey Gall Randy Brown
Feb. 11, 2017 Welterweight Randy Brown Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
Dec. 9, 2016 Welterweight Randy Brown Brian Camozzi Randy Brown
Sept. 17, 2016 Welterweight Erick Montano Randy Brown Randy Brown
April 16, 2016 Welterweight Randy Brown Michael Graves Michael Graves
Jan. 30, 2016 Welterweight Matt Dwyer Randy Brown Randy Brown
Khaos Williams History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 13, 2021 Welterweight Miguel Baeza Khaos Williams Khaos Williams
June 19, 2021 Welterweight Khaos Williams Matthew Semelsberger Khaos Williams
Dec. 19, 2020 Welterweight Michel Pereira Khaos Williams Michel Pereira
Nov. 14, 2020 Welterweight Abdul Razak Alhassan Khaos Williams Khaos Williams
Feb. 8, 2020 Welterweight Alex Morono Khaos Williams Khaos Williams