The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 40 | 39 | 32 | |
| Height | 73" | 75" | 74" | |
| Reach | 76" | 80" | 76" | |
| Win Percentage | 69.23% | 60.98% | 79.78% | |
| Wins | 27 | 26 | ||
| Losses | 13 | 16 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 10 | 13 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 9 | 8 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 60.41% | 48.48% | 54.99% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 51.29% | 43.67% | 49.56% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.135 | 3.183 | 5.138 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.325 | 2.575 | 3.913 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.855 | 0.333 | 0.686 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -3.41% | -15.67% | -0.07% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -0.77% | -8.79% | 2.87% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -10.45% | -12.75% | 3.16% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -7.91% | -4.67% | 6.36% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 77.81% | 96.51% | 81.26% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 114.20% | 111.90% | 99.73% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 52.80% | 45.07% | 49.06% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.244 | 0.400 | 0.406 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.648 | 0.999 | 1.156 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.845 | 3.263 | 2.976 | |
| Takedown Defense | 121.43% | 47.06% | 81.06% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 42.86% | 30.61% | 26.26% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.055 | 1.598 | 2.547 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.818 | 4.467 | 6.195 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.368 | 1.829 | 2.251 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.513 | 0.666 | 0.827 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.704 | 1.012 | 1.125 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.680 | 0.817 | 0.730 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.757 | 0.311 | 0.539 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.960 | 0.417 | 0.655 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.346 | 0.866 | 0.629 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.529 | 0.284 | 0.612 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.749 | 0.440 | 0.794 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.582 | 0.582 | 0.598 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 21, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Paul Craig | Paul Craig | |
| July 25, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Rogerio Nogueira | Mauricio Rua | |
| Nov. 16, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Paul Craig | None | |
| Dec. 1, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Tyson Pedro | Mauricio Rua | |
| July 22, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Anthony Smith | Anthony Smith | |
| March 11, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Gian Villante | Mauricio Rua | |
| May 14, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua | |
| Aug. 1, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Rogerio Nogueira | Mauricio Rua | |
| Nov. 8, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| March 23, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Dan Henderson | Dan Henderson | |
| Dec. 6, 2013 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua | |
| Aug. 17, 2013 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Chael Sonnen | Chael Sonnen | |
| Dec. 8, 2012 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Alexander Gustafsson | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Aug. 4, 2012 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua | |
| Nov. 19, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Dan Henderson | Dan Henderson | |
| Aug. 27, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua | |
| March 19, 2011 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Mauricio Rua | Jon Jones | Jon Jones | |
| May 8, 2010 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Lyoto Machida | Mauricio Rua | Mauricio Rua | |
| Oct. 24, 2009 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Lyoto Machida | Mauricio Rua | Lyoto Machida | |
| April 18, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Chuck Liddell | Mauricio Rua | |
| Jan. 17, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Mark Coleman | Mauricio Rua | |
| Sept. 22, 2007 | Light Heavyweight | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua | Forrest Griffin |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 26, 2021 | Heavyweight | Tanner Boser | Ovince Saint Preux | Tanner Boser | |
| Dec. 5, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Jamahal Hill | Jamahal Hill | |
| Sept. 5, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Alonzo Menifield | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| May 13, 2020 | Heavyweight | Ben Rothwell | Ovince Saint Preux | Ben Rothwell | |
| Sept. 28, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Michal Oleksiejczuk | Ovince Saint Preux | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| April 13, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
| Oct. 6, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Dominick Reyes | Dominick Reyes | |
| June 23, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Tyson Pedro | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Feb. 24, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Ilir Latifi | Ilir Latifi | |
| Nov. 4, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Corey Anderson | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Sept. 22, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Yushin Okami | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| April 22, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Feb. 4, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Volkan Oezdemir | Volkan Oezdemir | |
| Oct. 8, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Jimi Manuwa | Jimi Manuwa | |
| April 23, 2016 | UFC Interim Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Ovince Saint Preux | Jon Jones | |
| Feb. 6, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Rafael Cavalcante | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Aug. 8, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Glover Teixeira | Ovince Saint Preux | Glover Teixeira | |
| April 18, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Nov. 8, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Aug. 16, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Ryan Bader | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader | |
| June 14, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Jimmo | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| March 15, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Nikita Krylov | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Aug. 17, 2013 | Light Heavyweight | Cody Donovan | Ovince Saint Preux | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| April 27, 2013 | Light Heavyweight | Gian Villante | Ovince Saint Preux | Ovince Saint Preux |