Brandon Royval vs. Matt Schnell - UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Brandon Royval by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Phoenix, Arizona, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brandon Royval
29
14
6.2
-270
Matt Schnell
+200

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Brandon Royval Matt Schnell
Main Stats
Age 29 32
Height 69" 68"
Reach 68" 70"
Win Percentage 68.42% 75.00%
Wins 14 15
Losses 6 6
Wins at Weight Class 3 4
Losses at Weight Class 2 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 46.49% 44.41%
Significant Striking Accuracy 36.96% 38.40%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.018 5.457
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.158 4.226
Knockdowns per Fight 0.734 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 5.60% 2.89%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.80% 0.44%
Striking Output Differential 32.40% 8.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 29.40% 5.78%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 49.76% 113.54%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.19% 145.71%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.02% 59.60%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 2.203 0.972
Takedowns per Fight 0.734 0.389
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.734 1.167
Takedown Defense 154.55% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.861 2.852
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.585 9.060
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.542 2.942
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.832 0.609
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.249 0.972
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.294 0.454
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.465 0.765
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.710 0.972
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.734 0.778
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.147 0.350
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.196 0.544
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.122 0.363
Brandon Royval History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 15, 2022 Flyweight Brandon Royval Rogerio Bontorin Brandon Royval
Aug. 21, 2021 Flyweight Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Royval Alexandre Pantoja
Nov. 21, 2020 Flyweight Brandon Moreno Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno
Sept. 26, 2020 Flyweight Kai Kara-France Brandon Royval Brandon Royval
May 30, 2020 Flyweight Tim Elliott Brandon Royval Brandon Royval
Matt Schnell History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 15, 2021 Bantamweight Matt Schnell Rogerio Bontorin None
Jan. 20, 2021 Flyweight Matt Schnell Tyson Nam Matt Schnell
Dec. 21, 2019 Flyweight Alexandre Pantoja Matt Schnell Alexandre Pantoja
Aug. 3, 2019 Flyweight Jordan Espinosa Matt Schnell Matt Schnell
March 9, 2019 Bantamweight Louis Smolka Matt Schnell Matt Schnell
June 23, 2018 Flyweight Matt Schnell Naoki Inoue Matt Schnell
Oct. 7, 2017 Flyweight Matt Schnell Marco Beltran Matt Schnell
April 22, 2017 Flyweight Hector Sandoval Matt Schnell Hector Sandoval
Dec. 3, 2016 Bantamweight Rob Font Matt Schnell Rob Font