Blagoy Ivanov vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima - UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Blagoy Ivanov by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Phoenix, Arizona, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Blagoy Ivanov
-158
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
10
18
24.7
+120

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Blagoy Ivanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Main Stats
Age 35 36
Height 71" 73"
Reach 73" 75"
Win Percentage 81.82% 70.37%
Wins 19 19
Losses 4 9
Wins at Weight Class 2 5
Losses at Weight Class 3 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 44.81% 70.04%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.69% 57.46%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.965 8.291
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.318 3.236
Knockdowns per Fight 0.177 1.167
Striking Impact Differential -6.00% 26.54%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -14.20% 10.00%
Striking Output Differential -9.60% 34.23%
Significant Striking Output Differential -18.20% 13.46%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 128.49% 24.02%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 152.84% 52.40%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.97% 58.29%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.177 0.700
Takedowns per Fight 1.059 1.400
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.941 2.100
Takedown Defense 33.33% 85.71%
Takedown Accuracy 54.55% 66.67%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.518 2.022
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.235 3.998
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.447 0.825
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.718 0.513
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.835 0.762
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.047 0.249
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.082 0.700
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.082 0.871
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.659 0.140
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.341 0.373
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.471 0.436
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.600 0.265
Blagoy Ivanov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 30, 2020 Heavyweight Blagoy Ivanov Augusto Sakai Augusto Sakai
Nov. 2, 2019 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Blagoy Ivanov Derrick Lewis
June 8, 2019 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov Blagoy Ivanov
March 9, 2019 Heavyweight Blagoy Ivanov Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov
July 14, 2018 Heavyweight Junior Dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov Junior Dos Santos
Marcos Rogerio de Lima History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 13, 2021 Heavyweight Ben Rothwell Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
May 8, 2021 Heavyweight Maurice Greene Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Nov. 7, 2020 Heavyweight Alexandr Romanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima Alexandr Romanov
Feb. 22, 2020 Heavyweight Ben Sosoli Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Feb. 23, 2019 Heavyweight Stefan Struve Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve
Nov. 3, 2018 Heavyweight Adam Wieczorek Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
April 22, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Marcos Rogerio de Lima Ovince Saint Preux
Jan. 28, 2017 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Jeremy Kimball Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Nov. 19, 2016 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Gadzhimurad Antigulov Gadzhimurad Antigulov
April 23, 2016 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Clint Hester Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Aug. 23, 2015 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Nikita Krylov Nikita Krylov
Dec. 20, 2014 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Igor Pokrajac Marcos Rogerio de Lima
May 31, 2014 Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Richardson Moreira Marcos Rogerio de Lima