The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Mackenzie Dern | Tecia Pennington | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 29 | 32 | 30 | |
| Height | 64" | 61" | 63" | |
| Reach | 63" | 60" | 64" | |
| Win Percentage | 84.62% | 72.22% | 75.25% | |
| Wins | 12 | 13 | ||
| Losses | 2 | 6 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 6 | 9 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 5 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 43.89% | 55.11% | 54.63% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 36.19% | 48.03% | 45.45% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.427 | 6.585 | 5.505 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.135 | 4.715 | 3.650 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.180 | 0.079 | 0.104 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -5.50% | 22.93% | -0.51% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -11.38% | 15.07% | -0.89% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -6.00% | 17.86% | -2.94% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -12.50% | 8.36% | -3.36% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 128.92% | 87.11% | 97.43% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 179.77% | 118.67% | 152.88% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 57.16% | 60.79% | 54.55% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.795 | 0.079 | 0.585 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.538 | 0.707 | 1.646 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.025 | 4.636 | 4.021 | |
| Takedown Defense | 0.00% | 71.88% | 94.88% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 10.71% | 15.25% | 34.67% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.213 | 2.750 | 2.275 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.478 | 7.245 | 6.206 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.369 | 1.703 | 2.430 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.491 | 1.064 | 0.806 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.706 | 1.462 | 1.148 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.149 | 1.305 | 0.916 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.431 | 0.901 | 0.570 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.479 | 1.111 | 0.736 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.706 | 0.603 | 0.554 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.443 | 0.660 | 0.651 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.550 | 0.938 | 0.879 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.682 | 0.875 | 0.770 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 9, 2021 | Women's Strawweight | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez | Marina Rodriguez | |
| April 10, 2021 | Women's Strawweight | Nina Nunes | Mackenzie Dern | Mackenzie Dern | |
| Dec. 12, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Mackenzie Dern | Virna Jandiroba | Mackenzie Dern | |
| Sept. 19, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos | Mackenzie Dern | |
| May 30, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Mackenzie Dern | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern | |
| Oct. 12, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Mackenzie Dern | Amanda Ribas | Amanda Ribas | |
| May 12, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Mackenzie Dern | Amanda Cooper | Mackenzie Dern | |
| March 3, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern | Mackenzie Dern |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 7, 2021 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Angela Hill | Tecia Pennington | |
| Dec. 12, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Sam Hughes | Tecia Pennington | |
| June 20, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington | |
| Aug. 10, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Marina Rodriguez | Marina Rodriguez | |
| March 2, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili | Zhang Weili | |
| July 28, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | |
| Feb. 24, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington | Jessica Andrade | |
| Dec. 2, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Tecia Pennington | |
| July 7, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Juliana Lima | Tecia Pennington | |
| Feb. 4, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Bec Rawlings | Tecia Pennington | |
| April 16, 2016 | Women's Strawweight | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington | Rose Namajunas | |
| Dec. 12, 2015 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Tecia Pennington | |
| June 13, 2015 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Angela Hill | Tecia Pennington | |
| Dec. 12, 2014 | Women's Strawweight | Tecia Pennington | Angela Magana | Tecia Pennington |