The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 27 | 32 | |
| Height | 70" | 74" | 72" | |
| Reach | 71" | 75" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 83.33% | 100.00% | 78.60% | |
| Wins | 20 | 11 | ||
| Losses | 5 | 0 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 6 | 2 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 55.79% | 83.01% | 51.37% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 46.48% | 77.24% | 45.80% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.823 | 19.690 | 5.777 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.120 | 8.682 | 4.397 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.308 | 1.163 | 0.864 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 9.00% | 63.00% | 3.96% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 2.47% | 27.75% | 2.00% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 10.00% | 75.25% | 4.99% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 2.47% | 35.25% | 2.72% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 77.45% | 1.18% | 97.81% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 115.13% | 2.68% | 119.30% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 55.29% | 75.00% | 54.60% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.616 | 5.814 | 0.582 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 2.155 | 4.651 | 1.275 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.850 | 6.977 | 3.822 | |
| Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 100.00% | 67.71% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 36.84% | 66.67% | 39.89% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.786 | 8.372 | 2.935 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.962 | 10.930 | 7.489 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.750 | 0.078 | 2.812 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.718 | 0.155 | 0.804 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.944 | 0.155 | 1.167 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.564 | 0.000 | 0.770 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.616 | 0.155 | 0.657 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.806 | 0.155 | 0.776 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.590 | 0.000 | 0.652 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.364 | 0.000 | 0.473 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.559 | 0.000 | 0.662 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.303 | 0.000 | 0.400 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 10, 2021 | Welterweight | Gilbert Burns | Stephen Thompson | Gilbert Burns | |
| Feb. 13, 2021 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Gilbert Burns | Kamaru Usman | |
| May 30, 2020 | Welterweight | Tyron Woodley | Gilbert Burns | Gilbert Burns | |
| March 14, 2020 | Welterweight | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns | Gilbert Burns | |
| Sept. 28, 2019 | Welterweight | Gunnar Nelson | Gilbert Burns | Gilbert Burns | |
| Aug. 10, 2019 | Welterweight | Gilbert Burns | Aleksei Kunchenko | Gilbert Burns | |
| April 27, 2019 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Mike Davis | Gilbert Burns | |
| Dec. 8, 2018 | Lightweight | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | Gilbert Burns | Gilbert Burns | |
| July 7, 2018 | Lightweight | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns | Dan Hooker | |
| April 14, 2018 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Dan Moret | Gilbert Burns | |
| Sept. 16, 2017 | Lightweight | Jason Saggo | Gilbert Burns | Gilbert Burns | |
| Sept. 24, 2016 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres | Michel Prazeres | |
| July 7, 2016 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Lukasz Sajewski | Gilbert Burns | |
| Nov. 7, 2015 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov | Rashid Magomedov | |
| March 21, 2015 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Alex Oliveira | Gilbert Burns | |
| Oct. 25, 2014 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns | |
| July 26, 2014 | Welterweight | Andreas Stahl | Gilbert Burns | Gilbert Burns |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 30, 2021 | Welterweight | Li Jingliang | Khamzat Chimaev | Khamzat Chimaev | |
| Sept. 19, 2020 | Middleweight | Khamzat Chimaev | Gerald Meerschaert | Khamzat Chimaev | |
| July 25, 2020 | Welterweight | Khamzat Chimaev | Rhys McKee | Khamzat Chimaev | |
| July 15, 2020 | Middleweight | John Phillips | Khamzat Chimaev | Khamzat Chimaev |