Aljamain Sterling vs. Petr Yan - UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Aljamain Sterling by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Jacksonville, Florida, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: UFC Bantamweight Title
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Aljamain Sterling
17
+300
Petr Yan
25
-3.6
-480

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Aljamain Sterling Petr Yan
Main Stats
Age 32 29
Height 67" 67"
Reach 71" 67"
Win Percentage 86.96% 88.89%
Wins 21 16
Losses 3 3
Wins at Weight Class 1 1
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 58.41% 56.67%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.61% 52.63%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.164 7.194
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.837 5.983
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.094
Striking Impact Differential 44.47% 41.22%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 32.73% 28.11%
Striking Output Differential 59.13% 19.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 47.13% 5.56%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 54.69% 96.45%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 77.56% 114.76%
Striking Defense Percentage 63.05% 62.40%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.887 0.219
Takedowns per Fight 1.773 1.751
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.174 2.845
Takedown Defense 142.86% 11.63%
Takedown Accuracy 24.72% 61.54%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.381 4.326
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.234 9.412
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.069 2.466
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.601 1.189
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.338 1.445
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.575 1.021
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.855 0.467
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.177 0.511
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.554 0.649
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.795 0.700
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.037 0.890
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.339 0.314
Aljamain Sterling History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 6, 2021 UFC Bantamweight Title Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling Aljamain Sterling
June 6, 2020 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling
June 8, 2019 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling
Feb. 17, 2019 Bantamweight Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling Aljamain Sterling
Sept. 8, 2018 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling
April 21, 2018 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Brett Johns Aljamain Sterling
Dec. 9, 2017 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Aljamain Sterling Marlon Moraes
July 29, 2017 Catch Weight Aljamain Sterling Renan Barao Aljamain Sterling
April 15, 2017 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Augusto Mendes Aljamain Sterling
Jan. 28, 2017 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Aljamain Sterling Raphael Assuncao
May 29, 2016 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Bryan Caraway Bryan Caraway
Dec. 10, 2015 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Johnny Eduardo Aljamain Sterling
April 18, 2015 Bantamweight Takeya Mizugaki Aljamain Sterling Aljamain Sterling
July 16, 2014 Bantamweight Hugo Viana Aljamain Sterling Aljamain Sterling
Feb. 22, 2014 Bantamweight Cody Gibson Aljamain Sterling Aljamain Sterling
Petr Yan History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 30, 2021 UFC Interim Bantamweight Title Petr Yan Cory Sandhagen Petr Yan
March 6, 2021 UFC Bantamweight Title Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling Aljamain Sterling
July 11, 2020 UFC Bantamweight Title Petr Yan Jose Aldo Petr Yan
Dec. 14, 2019 Bantamweight Petr Yan Urijah Faber Petr Yan
June 8, 2019 Bantamweight Jimmie Rivera Petr Yan Petr Yan
Feb. 23, 2019 Bantamweight John Dodson Petr Yan Petr Yan
Dec. 29, 2018 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Petr Yan Petr Yan
Sept. 15, 2018 Bantamweight Petr Yan Jin Soo Son Petr Yan
June 23, 2018 Bantamweight Teruto Ishihara Petr Yan Petr Yan