The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Aleksei Oleinik | Jared Vanderaa | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 44 | 29 | 34 | |
| Height | 74" | 76" | 75" | |
| Reach | 80" | 80" | 78" | |
| Win Percentage | 78.67% | 63.16% | 77.23% | |
| Wins | 60 | 12 | ||
| Losses | 16 | 8 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 8 | 1 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 7 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 64.42% | 54.73% | 54.52% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 50.22% | 48.12% | 49.28% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.885 | 5.868 | 5.569 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.546 | 4.406 | 4.341 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.309 | 0.000 | 1.001 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 6.33% | -10.25% | -0.10% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -2.87% | -7.00% | 2.26% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 9.47% | 0.75% | 2.43% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -1.13% | 5.25% | 5.18% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 48.20% | 67.47% | 88.63% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 91.57% | 85.25% | 118.04% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 44.87% | 43.02% | 51.55% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 2.165 | 0.000 | 0.408 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 2.165 | 0.000 | 1.087 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.638 | 0.000 | 2.118 | |
| Takedown Defense | 200.00% | 400.00% | 91.20% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 46.67% | 0.00% | 27.90% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.340 | 2.152 | 2.820 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.700 | 6.538 | 6.870 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.113 | 3.533 | 2.658 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.845 | 1.279 | 0.764 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.928 | 1.584 | 1.019 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.608 | 1.157 | 0.700 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.361 | 0.975 | 0.757 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.433 | 1.036 | 0.877 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.268 | 0.284 | 0.672 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.876 | 0.751 | 0.551 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.175 | 1.015 | 0.775 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.814 | 0.162 | 0.458 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 19, 2021 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Serghei Spivac | Serghei Spivac | |
| Feb. 20, 2021 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Chris Daukaus | Chris Daukaus | |
| Aug. 8, 2020 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Aleksei Oleinik | Derrick Lewis | |
| May 9, 2020 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum | Aleksei Oleinik | |
| Jan. 18, 2020 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Maurice Greene | Aleksei Oleinik | |
| July 20, 2019 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Walt Harris | Walt Harris | |
| April 20, 2019 | Heavyweight | Alistair Overeem | Aleksei Oleinik | Alistair Overeem | |
| Sept. 15, 2018 | Heavyweight | Mark Hunt | Aleksei Oleinik | Aleksei Oleinik | |
| May 12, 2018 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini | Aleksei Oleinik | |
| Nov. 4, 2017 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes | Curtis Blaydes | |
| July 8, 2017 | Heavyweight | Travis Browne | Aleksei Oleinik | Aleksei Oleinik | |
| Jan. 15, 2017 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta | Aleksei Oleinik | |
| July 13, 2016 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk | Daniel Omielanczuk | |
| Nov. 22, 2014 | Heavyweight | Jared Rosholt | Aleksei Oleinik | Aleksei Oleinik | |
| June 28, 2014 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Anthony Hamilton | Aleksei Oleinik |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 12, 2022 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Jared Vanderaa | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Oct. 9, 2021 | Heavyweight | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa | Alexandr Romanov | |
| May 22, 2021 | Heavyweight | Justin Tafa | Jared Vanderaa | Jared Vanderaa | |
| Feb. 20, 2021 | Heavyweight | Serghei Spivac | Jared Vanderaa | Serghei Spivac |