Serghei Spivac vs. Greg Hardy - UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Serghei Spivac by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Serghei Spivac
11
17
3.0
-205
Greg Hardy
+142

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Serghei Spivac Greg Hardy
Main Stats
Age 27 33
Height 75" 77"
Reach 78" 80"
Win Percentage 81.25% 63.64%
Wins 14 7
Losses 3 5
Wins at Weight Class 4 4
Losses at Weight Class 3 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 62.50% 52.11%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.40% 49.70%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.035 5.131
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.707 4.647
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.208
Striking Impact Differential 17.86% 14.11%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.57% 11.67%
Striking Output Differential 17.00% 19.89%
Significant Striking Output Differential 2.86% 17.44%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 61.29% 77.90%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 107.35% 85.71%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.25% 55.49%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.227 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 2.723 0.208
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.766 0.622
Takedown Defense 42.86% 25.00%
Takedown Accuracy 57.14% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.555 2.766
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.353 6.888
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.179 1.743
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.121 0.692
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.121 0.968
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.681 0.705
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.030 1.190
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.030 1.494
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.363 0.747
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.212 0.194
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.318 0.235
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.318 0.014
Serghei Spivac History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 4, 2021 Heavyweight Tom Aspinall Serghei Spivac Tom Aspinall
June 19, 2021 Heavyweight Aleksei Oleinik Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac
Feb. 20, 2021 Heavyweight Serghei Spivac Jared Vanderaa Serghei Spivac
July 18, 2020 Heavyweight Carlos Felipe Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac
Feb. 29, 2020 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Serghei Spivac Marcin Tybura
Oct. 5, 2019 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac
May 4, 2019 Heavyweight Walt Harris Serghei Spivac Walt Harris
Greg Hardy History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 10, 2021 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Greg Hardy Tai Tuivasa
Dec. 19, 2020 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy Marcin Tybura
Oct. 31, 2020 Heavyweight Maurice Greene Greg Hardy Greg Hardy
May 9, 2020 Heavyweight Greg Hardy Yorgan De Castro Greg Hardy
Nov. 9, 2019 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Greg Hardy Alexander Volkov
Oct. 18, 2019 Heavyweight Greg Hardy Ben Sosoli None
July 20, 2019 Heavyweight Greg Hardy Juan Adams Greg Hardy
April 27, 2019 Heavyweight Greg Hardy Dmitrii Smoliakov Greg Hardy
Jan. 19, 2019 Heavyweight Greg Hardy Allen Crowder Allen Crowder