The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Kevin Holland | Alex Oliveira | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 29 | 34 | 32 | |
| Height | 75" | 71" | 72" | |
| Reach | 81" | 76" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 75.00% | 66.67% | 78.54% | |
| Wins | 22 | 22 | ||
| Losses | 7 | 12 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 0 | 9 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 9 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 72.99% | 58.54% | 50.89% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 56.68% | 51.26% | 45.28% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 8.019 | 4.337 | 5.701 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.487 | 2.970 | 4.356 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.296 | 0.440 | 0.840 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 32.08% | 3.00% | 4.00% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 12.46% | 5.76% | 2.13% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 20.62% | 9.62% | 5.44% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 7.85% | 12.14% | 3.26% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 49.22% | 55.18% | 97.97% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 87.74% | 73.03% | 119.85% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 55.82% | 47.69% | 54.71% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.592 | 0.513 | 0.552 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.987 | 2.271 | 1.262 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.875 | 6.081 | 3.884 | |
| Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 56.67% | 67.42% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 52.63% | 37.35% | 39.50% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.145 | 1.709 | 2.895 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.407 | 4.181 | 7.490 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.329 | 1.485 | 2.801 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.684 | 0.738 | 0.799 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.987 | 1.026 | 1.167 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.586 | 0.425 | 0.760 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.658 | 0.523 | 0.662 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.757 | 0.586 | 0.784 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.507 | 0.469 | 0.653 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.408 | 0.694 | 0.477 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.566 | 1.021 | 0.670 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.382 | 0.528 | 0.399 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2021 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Kyle Daukaus | None | |
| April 10, 2021 | Middleweight | Marvin Vettori | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori | |
| March 20, 2021 | Middleweight | Derek Brunson | Kevin Holland | Derek Brunson | |
| Dec. 12, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland | |
| Oct. 31, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Charlie Ontiveros | Kevin Holland | |
| Sept. 19, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Darren Stewart | Kevin Holland | |
| Aug. 8, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland | |
| May 16, 2020 | Middleweight | Anthony Hernandez | Kevin Holland | Kevin Holland | |
| Oct. 18, 2019 | Middleweight | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland | Brendan Allen | |
| June 22, 2019 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Alessio Di Chirico | Kevin Holland | |
| March 30, 2019 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Gerald Meerschaert | Kevin Holland | |
| Nov. 24, 2018 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | John Phillips | Kevin Holland | |
| Aug. 4, 2018 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Kevin Holland | Thiago Santos |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2021 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price | Niko Price | |
| April 24, 2021 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Randy Brown | Randy Brown | |
| Oct. 24, 2020 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Shavkat Rakhmonov | |
| July 25, 2020 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Peter Sobotta | Alex Oliveira | |
| March 7, 2020 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Max Griffin | Alex Oliveira | |
| Sept. 28, 2019 | Welterweight | Nicolas Dalby | Alex Oliveira | Nicolas Dalby | |
| April 27, 2019 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Mike Perry | Mike Perry | |
| Dec. 8, 2018 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Gunnar Nelson | Gunnar Nelson | |
| Sept. 22, 2018 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Alex Oliveira | |
| April 14, 2018 | Welterweight | Carlos Condit | Alex Oliveira | Alex Oliveira | |
| Dec. 2, 2017 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros | Yancy Medeiros | |
| July 22, 2017 | Welterweight | Ryan LaFlare | Alex Oliveira | Alex Oliveira | |
| March 11, 2017 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Tim Means | Alex Oliveira | |
| Dec. 30, 2016 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Tim Means | None | |
| Oct. 1, 2016 | Lightweight | Will Brooks | Alex Oliveira | Alex Oliveira | |
| July 23, 2016 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | James Moontasri | Alex Oliveira | |
| Feb. 21, 2016 | Welterweight | Donald Cerrone | Alex Oliveira | Donald Cerrone | |
| Nov. 7, 2015 | Lightweight | Alex Oliveira | Piotr Hallmann | Alex Oliveira | |
| June 27, 2015 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Joe Merritt | Alex Oliveira | |
| May 30, 2015 | Welterweight | KJ Noons | Alex Oliveira | Alex Oliveira | |
| March 21, 2015 | Lightweight | Gilbert Burns | Alex Oliveira | Gilbert Burns |