Jalin Turner vs. Jamie Mullarkey - UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jalin Turner by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jalin Turner
24
17
17.5
-161
Jamie Mullarkey
+120

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jalin Turner Jamie Mullarkey
Main Stats
Age 26 27
Height 75" 72"
Reach 77" 74"
Win Percentage 68.75% 77.78%
Wins 12 14
Losses 5 5
Wins at Weight Class 3 2
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 51.09% 43.37%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.95% 40.63%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.859 3.470
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.375 3.030
Knockdowns per Fight 1.094 0.777
Striking Impact Differential 18.50% -15.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 12.00% -13.75%
Striking Output Differential 43.83% -8.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential 36.17% -7.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 41.84% 109.70%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 52.04% 123.08%
Striking Defense Percentage 43.56% 45.57%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 2.189 0.388
Takedowns per Fight 0.730 3.496
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.094 10.876
Takedown Defense 27.78% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 66.67% 32.14%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.745 1.528
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.461 5.438
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.703 3.392
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.411 0.725
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.946 1.139
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.608 0.518
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.219 0.777
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.292 0.880
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.313 0.544
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.486 0.440
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.803 0.751
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.268 0.311
Jalin Turner History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 25, 2021 Lightweight Uros Medic Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Sept. 12, 2020 Catch Weight Brok Weaver Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Feb. 22, 2020 Lightweight Jalin Turner Josh Culibao Jalin Turner
April 13, 2019 Lightweight Jalin Turner Matt Frevola Matt Frevola
Feb. 9, 2019 Lightweight Callan Potter Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Oct. 6, 2018 Welterweight Vicente Luque Jalin Turner Vicente Luque
Jamie Mullarkey History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 2, 2021 Lightweight Devonte Smith Jamie Mullarkey Jamie Mullarkey
March 27, 2021 Lightweight Jamie Mullarkey Khama Worthy Jamie Mullarkey
Oct. 17, 2020 Lightweight Jamie Mullarkey Fares Ziam Fares Ziam
Oct. 5, 2019 Lightweight Brad Riddell Jamie Mullarkey Brad Riddell