The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Edson Barboza | Bryce Mitchell | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 36 | 27 | 31 | |
| Height | 71" | 70" | 69" | |
| Reach | 75" | 70" | 71" | |
| Win Percentage | 68.75% | 93.33% | 80.46% | |
| Wins | 22 | 15 | ||
| Losses | 11 | 1 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 2 | 5 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 45.11% | 69.27% | 52.18% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.14% | 61.76% | 45.86% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.303 | 3.995 | 5.392 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.108 | 2.285 | 3.923 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.704 | 0.000 | 0.642 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -12.54% | 18.20% | 3.16% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -0.92% | 10.60% | 2.39% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -24.50% | 11.20% | 4.42% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -11.42% | 0.60% | 3.45% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 145.91% | 57.98% | 100.65% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 148.82% | 95.92% | 126.12% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 59.34% | 60.00% | 54.56% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.101 | 2.332 | 0.898 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.403 | 3.264 | 1.626 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.906 | 6.995 | 4.044 | |
| Takedown Defense | 27.54% | 200.00% | 79.70% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 44.44% | 46.67% | 39.99% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.808 | 1.492 | 2.491 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.091 | 2.643 | 6.549 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.005 | 0.964 | 2.420 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.171 | 0.684 | 0.876 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.771 | 0.902 | 1.287 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.617 | 0.295 | 0.843 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.130 | 0.109 | 0.556 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.446 | 0.155 | 0.688 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.567 | 0.202 | 0.543 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.124 | 0.124 | 0.442 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.168 | 0.202 | 0.605 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.107 | 0.031 | 0.483 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2021 | Featherweight | Edson Barboza | Giga Chikadze | Giga Chikadze | |
| May 15, 2021 | Featherweight | Shane Burgos | Edson Barboza | Edson Barboza | |
| Oct. 10, 2020 | Featherweight | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani | Edson Barboza | |
| May 16, 2020 | Featherweight | Dan Ige | Edson Barboza | Dan Ige | |
| Sept. 7, 2019 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder | Paul Felder | |
| March 30, 2019 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Justin Gaethje | Justin Gaethje | |
| Dec. 15, 2018 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Dan Hooker | Edson Barboza | |
| April 21, 2018 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee | Kevin Lee | |
| Dec. 30, 2017 | Lightweight | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov | |
| March 11, 2017 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Beneil Dariush | Edson Barboza | |
| July 23, 2016 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Gilbert Melendez | Edson Barboza | |
| April 23, 2016 | Lightweight | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza | Edson Barboza | |
| Dec. 11, 2015 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Tony Ferguson | Tony Ferguson | |
| July 25, 2015 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder | Edson Barboza | |
| Feb. 22, 2015 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Michael Johnson | Michael Johnson | |
| Nov. 22, 2014 | Lightweight | King Green | Edson Barboza | Edson Barboza | |
| July 16, 2014 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham | Edson Barboza | |
| April 19, 2014 | Lightweight | Donald Cerrone | Edson Barboza | Donald Cerrone | |
| Dec. 14, 2013 | Lightweight | Danny Castillo | Edson Barboza | Edson Barboza | |
| July 6, 2013 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Rafaello Oliveira | Edson Barboza | |
| Jan. 19, 2013 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Lucas Martins | Edson Barboza | |
| May 26, 2012 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Jamie Varner | Jamie Varner | |
| Jan. 14, 2012 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Terry Etim | Edson Barboza | |
| Aug. 27, 2011 | Lightweight | Ross Pearson | Edson Barboza | Edson Barboza | |
| March 19, 2011 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Anthony Njokuani | Edson Barboza | |
| Nov. 20, 2010 | Lightweight | Mike Lullo | Edson Barboza | Edson Barboza |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 31, 2020 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Andre Fili | Bryce Mitchell | |
| May 9, 2020 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Charles Rosa | Bryce Mitchell | |
| Dec. 7, 2019 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles | Bryce Mitchell | |
| March 23, 2019 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Bobby Moffett | Bryce Mitchell | |
| July 6, 2018 | Featherweight | Tyler Diamond | Bryce Mitchell | Bryce Mitchell |