Roxanne Modafferi vs. Casey O'Neill - UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Casey O'Neill by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Houston, Texas, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Roxanne Modafferi
+270
Casey O'Neill
30
11
-1.6
-420

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Roxanne Modafferi Casey O'Neill
Main Stats
Age 39 24
Height 67" 66"
Reach 69" 69"
Win Percentage 55.56% 100.00%
Wins 25 9
Losses 21 0
Wins at Weight Class 4 3
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 42.43% 68.34%
Significant Striking Accuracy 29.58% 56.03%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.702 13.900
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.979 5.484
Knockdowns per Fight 0.089 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -11.18% 91.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -28.91% 25.00%
Striking Output Differential 14.18% 136.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -9.82% 50.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 106.66% 15.83%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 196.22% 34.30%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.57% 37.82%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.089 1.435
Takedowns per Fight 1.246 3.826
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.806 7.651
Takedown Defense 300.00% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 25.93% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.522 4.176
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.280 8.289
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.631 1.849
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.249 0.956
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.528 1.148
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.617 0.893
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.208 0.351
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.261 0.351
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.617 0.351
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.160 0.383
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.255 0.510
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.404 0.797
Roxanne Modafferi History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 25, 2021 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Taila Santos Taila Santos
Jan. 20, 2021 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Viviane Araujo Viviane Araujo
Sept. 12, 2020 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Andrea Lee Roxanne Modafferi
June 20, 2020 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Lauren Murphy Lauren Murphy
Jan. 18, 2020 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Maycee Barber Roxanne Modafferi
July 20, 2019 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Jennifer Maia Jennifer Maia
April 20, 2019 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Antonina Shevchenko Roxanne Modafferi
Nov. 3, 2018 Women's Flyweight Sijara Eubanks Roxanne Modafferi Sijara Eubanks
July 6, 2018 Women's Flyweight Roxanne Modafferi Barb Honchak Roxanne Modafferi
Dec. 1, 2017 UFC Women's Flyweight Title Nicco Montano Roxanne Modafferi Nicco Montano
Nov. 30, 2013 Women's Bantamweight Roxanne Modafferi Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
Casey O'Neill History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 2, 2021 Women's Flyweight Antonina Shevchenko Casey O'Neill Casey O'Neill
June 19, 2021 Women's Flyweight Casey O'Neill Lara Procopio Casey O'Neill
Feb. 20, 2021 Women's Flyweight Shana Dobson Casey O'Neill Casey O'Neill