Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Sergey Morozov - UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Douglas Silva de Andrade by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Houston, Texas, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Douglas Silva de Andrade
17
+165
Sergey Morozov
20
9.0
-235

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Douglas Silva de Andrade Sergey Morozov
Main Stats
Age 36 32
Height 67" 66"
Reach 68" 67"
Win Percentage 87.10% 80.95%
Wins 28 17
Losses 4 5
Wins at Weight Class 4 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 41.28% 56.32%
Significant Striking Accuracy 38.55% 42.86%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.267 4.524
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.791 2.410
Knockdowns per Fight 0.412 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -14.89% 4.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -5.22% -0.50%
Striking Output Differential -14.22% -8.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -3.78% -15.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 140.99% 100.93%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 156.28% 185.96%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.39% 64.63%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.687 3.806
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.373 10.148
Takedown Defense 50.00% 71.43%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 37.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.225 1.987
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.407 4.820
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.454 0.973
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.751 0.211
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.282 0.507
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.163 0.677
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.815 0.211
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.145 0.296
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.604 0.803
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.220 0.254
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.348 0.338
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.421 0.381
Douglas Silva de Andrade History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 2, 2021 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Gaetano Pirrello Douglas Silva de Andrade
Jan. 20, 2021 Featherweight Lerone Murphy Douglas Silva de Andrade Lerone Murphy
Nov. 16, 2019 Featherweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Renan Barao Douglas Silva de Andrade
Dec. 29, 2018 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Petr Yan Petr Yan
Feb. 3, 2018 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Marlon Vera Douglas Silva de Andrade
July 8, 2017 Bantamweight Rob Font Douglas Silva de Andrade Rob Font
Nov. 5, 2016 Bantamweight Henry Briones Douglas Silva de Andrade Douglas Silva de Andrade
Feb. 22, 2015 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Cody Gibson Douglas Silva de Andrade
Feb. 15, 2014 Featherweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Zubaira Tukhugov Zubaira Tukhugov
Sergey Morozov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 17, 2021 Bantamweight Khalid Taha Sergey Morozov Sergey Morozov
Jan. 20, 2021 Bantamweight Umar Nurmagomedov Sergey Morozov Umar Nurmagomedov