The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Alexander Hernandez | Renato Moicano | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 29 | 32 | 31 | |
| Height | 69" | 71" | 70" | |
| Reach | 72" | 72" | 72" | |
| Win Percentage | 76.47% | 78.95% | 80.32% | |
| Wins | 13 | 16 | ||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 2 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 3 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 41.45% | 49.91% | 51.84% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 36.81% | 47.14% | 45.77% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.706 | 5.805 | 5.672 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.795 | 5.119 | 4.237 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.672 | 0.163 | 1.269 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 4.13% | 16.82% | 3.65% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -0.25% | 14.09% | 1.89% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 13.38% | 10.27% | 7.08% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 7.88% | 7.00% | 4.67% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 117.78% | 113.88% | 101.29% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 146.06% | 128.72% | 127.87% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 59.17% | 65.76% | 55.50% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.654 | 0.621 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.569 | 1.960 | 1.751 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.482 | 3.267 | 4.710 | |
| Takedown Defense | 60.00% | 27.27% | 79.20% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 35.00% | 60.00% | 32.88% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.883 | 3.376 | 2.868 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.171 | 8.593 | 7.116 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.585 | 2.091 | 2.288 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.404 | 0.490 | 0.754 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.495 | 0.806 | 1.154 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.747 | 0.577 | 0.755 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.508 | 1.253 | 0.615 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.642 | 1.459 | 0.759 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.493 | 0.762 | 0.553 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.687 | 0.076 | 0.438 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.986 | 0.131 | 0.618 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.478 | 0.120 | 0.380 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2021 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Mike Breeden | Alexander Hernandez | |
| Feb. 27, 2021 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Thiago Moises | Thiago Moises | |
| Oct. 31, 2020 | Lightweight | Chris Gruetzemacher | Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez | |
| May 13, 2020 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Drew Dober | Drew Dober | |
| July 20, 2019 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Francisco Trinaldo | Alexander Hernandez | |
| Jan. 19, 2019 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Donald Cerrone | Donald Cerrone | |
| July 28, 2018 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | Alexander Hernandez | |
| March 3, 2018 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 26, 2021 | Lightweight | Renato Moicano | Jai Herbert | Renato Moicano | |
| Dec. 12, 2020 | Lightweight | Renato Moicano | Rafael Fiziev | Rafael Fiziev | |
| March 14, 2020 | Lightweight | Renato Moicano | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano | |
| June 22, 2019 | Featherweight | Renato Moicano | Chan Sung Jung | Chan Sung Jung | |
| Feb. 2, 2019 | Featherweight | Jose Aldo | Renato Moicano | Jose Aldo | |
| Aug. 4, 2018 | Featherweight | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano | Renato Moicano | |
| April 7, 2018 | Featherweight | Renato Moicano | Calvin Kattar | Renato Moicano | |
| July 29, 2017 | Featherweight | Brian Ortega | Renato Moicano | Brian Ortega | |
| April 15, 2017 | Featherweight | Jeremy Stephens | Renato Moicano | Renato Moicano | |
| May 14, 2016 | Featherweight | Renato Moicano | Zubaira Tukhugov | Renato Moicano | |
| Dec. 20, 2014 | Featherweight | Tom Niinimaki | Renato Moicano | Renato Moicano |