Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane - UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Francis Ngannou by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Anaheim, California, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: UFC Heavyweight Title
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Francis Ngannou
+114
Ciryl Gane
23
17
17.6
-160

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Francis Ngannou Ciryl Gane
Main Stats
Age 35 31
Height 76" 76"
Reach 83" 81"
Win Percentage 84.21% 100.00%
Wins 17 10
Losses 3 1
Wins at Weight Class 1 0
Losses at Weight Class 1 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 46.02% 60.00%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.24% 57.78%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.156 5.903
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.541 5.373
Knockdowns per Fight 1.639 0.284
Striking Impact Differential -6.38% 50.29%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.85% 44.86%
Striking Output Differential 3.23% 48.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 13.62% 42.86%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 63.20% 69.23%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 67.20% 75.53%
Striking Defense Percentage 45.62% 62.81%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.410 0.284
Takedowns per Fight 0.205 0.709
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.615 3.405
Takedown Defense 38.46% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 20.83%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.008 2.355
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.451 5.562
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.052 0.955
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.273 1.391
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.424 1.826
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.355 0.416
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.260 1.627
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.287 1.911
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.628 1.031
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.410 0.520
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.519 0.605
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.137 0.076
Francis Ngannou History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 27, 2021 UFC Heavyweight Title Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou Francis Ngannou
May 9, 2020 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Jairzinho Rozenstruik Francis Ngannou
June 29, 2019 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Junior Dos Santos Francis Ngannou
Feb. 17, 2019 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Cain Velasquez Francis Ngannou
Nov. 24, 2018 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou Francis Ngannou
July 7, 2018 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Derrick Lewis Derrick Lewis
Jan. 20, 2018 UFC Heavyweight Title Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou Stipe Miocic
Dec. 2, 2017 Heavyweight Alistair Overeem Francis Ngannou Francis Ngannou
Jan. 28, 2017 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Francis Ngannou Francis Ngannou
Dec. 9, 2016 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Anthony Hamilton Francis Ngannou
July 23, 2016 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Bojan Mihajlovic Francis Ngannou
April 10, 2016 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou
Dec. 19, 2015 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Luis Henrique Francis Ngannou
Ciryl Gane History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 7, 2021 UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Derrick Lewis Ciryl Gane Ciryl Gane
June 26, 2021 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Alexander Volkov Ciryl Gane
Feb. 27, 2021 Heavyweight Jairzinho Rozenstruik Ciryl Gane Ciryl Gane
Dec. 12, 2020 Heavyweight Junior Dos Santos Ciryl Gane Ciryl Gane
Dec. 21, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Tanner Boser Ciryl Gane
Oct. 26, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Don'Tale Mayes Ciryl Gane
Aug. 10, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Raphael Pessoa Ciryl Gane