Cody Stamann vs. Said Nurmagomedov - UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Said Nurmagomedov by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Anaheim, California, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Cody Stamann
15
+150
Said Nurmagomedov
18
12.5
-200

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Cody Stamann Said Nurmagomedov
Main Stats
Age 32 29
Height 66" 68"
Reach 64" 70"
Win Percentage 82.61% 87.50%
Wins 19 15
Losses 5 2
Wins at Weight Class 3 2
Losses at Weight Class 3 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.28% 51.83%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.76% 46.55%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.859 5.943
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.033 4.652
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.450
Striking Impact Differential -1.22% 27.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 9.67% 19.00%
Striking Output Differential -20.44% 42.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -7.33% 32.75%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 103.85% 63.13%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 143.35% 79.35%
Striking Defense Percentage 63.27% 60.89%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 2.797 0.450
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.294 5.853
Takedown Defense 32.50% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 44.44% 7.69%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.634 2.611
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.682 7.474
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.059 1.081
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.995 0.870
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.391 1.201
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.637 0.390
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.404 1.171
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.552 1.321
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.661 0.901
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.583 0.750
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.855 0.870
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.319 0.210
Cody Stamann History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 1, 2021 Bantamweight Merab Dvalishvili Cody Stamann Merab Dvalishvili
July 15, 2020 Featherweight Jimmie Rivera Cody Stamann Jimmie Rivera
June 6, 2020 Featherweight Cody Stamann Brian Kelleher Cody Stamann
Dec. 7, 2019 Bantamweight Cody Stamann Song Yadong None
March 2, 2019 Bantamweight Cody Stamann Alejandro Perez Cody Stamann
Sept. 8, 2018 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling
March 3, 2018 Bantamweight Bryan Caraway Cody Stamann Cody Stamann
Oct. 7, 2017 Bantamweight Tom Duquesnoy Cody Stamann Cody Stamann
July 8, 2017 Featherweight Cody Stamann Terrion Ware Cody Stamann
Said Nurmagomedov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 17, 2020 Bantamweight Said Nurmagomedov Mark Striegl Said Nurmagomedov
Dec. 21, 2019 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Said Nurmagomedov Raoni Barcelos
Feb. 2, 2019 Bantamweight Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov
July 14, 2018 Flyweight Justin Scoggins Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov